BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAD
99-62 · +1 NL WEST · W2 · 7-3 L10
@SUN 3:05 PM ETSF HOME PARK
65-96 · +4 NL WEST · L4 · 3-7 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
61°F · 8mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Ryan Blakney K-0.5%
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 2-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Jack Dreyer
LHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
3.16
IP
62.2
K/9
10.2
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.10
L5 STARTS6.59 ERA · 15.8% K · 15.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
47%
39%
13%
4-Seam FastballSliderCurveball
Carson Seymour
RHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
4.65
IP
31.0
K/9
6.4
BB/9
4.7
WHIP
1.52
L5 STARTS2.14 ERA · 28.6% K · 0% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS2 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Tommy Edman · Under 0.5 <1 Hits

L30 contact rate + matchup

+180 DraftKings36% book43% +7pp

Tommy Edman · Under 1.5 <2 Total Bases

platoon split + park combine for TB ceiling

-170 Bovada63% book69% +6pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 78%

169 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 21

LAD SF

Game Markets

LAD @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

78%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

18%

Game Total

Over 8.5

37%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

45%

Run Line

SF -1.5

11%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

53%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

15%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore SF by 2.94 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 5.25, SF 2.32
  • Jack Dreyer (LAD) vs Carson Seymour (SF)
  • Run on confirmed lineups
JD

Jack Dreyer

LAD SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

94%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

86%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

74%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

59%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

43%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

96%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

78%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

27%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.1 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.1 strikeouts
  • 94% to reach 5+ against SF
CS

Carson Seymour

SF SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

9%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

38%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

25%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.4 strikeouts
  • 9% to reach 5+ against LAD
SO

Shohei Ohtani

LAD · bats L · slot 1

#1

Home Run

1+ HR

26%

Hits

1+ hits

75%

Hits

2+ hits

36%

Total Bases

2+ bases

55%

Total Bases

3+ bases

40%

Total Bases

4+ bases

31%

RBIs

1+ RBI

41%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

19%

THE READ

Stands out most on 1+ HR — 26% against 12% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 1 · bats L
  • Cold on results, but hitting the ball well
  • Facing Carson Seymour
TH

Teoscar Hernández

LAD · bats R · slot 5

#5

Home Run

1+ HR

18%

Hits

1+ hits

69%

Hits

2+ hits

28%

Total Bases

2+ bases

46%

Total Bases

3+ bases

30%

Total Bases

4+ bases

23%

RBIs

1+ RBI

39%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

18%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 18% against 10% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 5 · bats R
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Carson Seymour
MM

Max Muncy

LAD · bats L · slot 6

#6

Home Run

1+ HR

20%

Hits

1+ hits

61%

Hits

2+ hits

22%

Total Bases

2+ bases

41%

Total Bases

3+ bases

27%

Total Bases

4+ bases

22%

RBIs

1+ RBI

35%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

16%

THE READ

Stands out most on 1+ HR — 20% against 12% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 6 · bats L
  • Facing Carson Seymour
MB

Mookie Betts

LAD · bats R · slot 2

#2

Home Run

1+ HR

20%

Hits

1+ hits

71%

Hits

2+ hits

32%

Total Bases

2+ bases

48%

Total Bases

3+ bases

31%

Total Bases

4+ bases

24%

RBIs

1+ RBI

38%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

16%

THE READ

Stands out most on 1+ HR — 20% against 12% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 2 · bats R
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Carson Seymour
FF

Freddie Freeman

LAD · bats L · slot 3

#3

Home Run

1+ HR

13%

Hits

1+ hits

71%

Hits

2+ hits

31%

Total Bases

2+ bases

44%

Total Bases

3+ bases

26%

Total Bases

4+ bases

18%

RBIs

1+ RBI

34%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

13%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ hits — 31% against 19% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 3 · bats L
  • Facing Carson Seymour
AP

Andy Pages

LAD · bats R · slot 7

#7

Home Run

1+ HR

16%

Hits

1+ hits

65%

Hits

2+ hits

25%

Total Bases

2+ bases

41%

Total Bases

3+ bases

26%

Total Bases

4+ bases

20%

RBIs

1+ RBI

33%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

14%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 14% against 10% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 7 · bats R
  • Facing Carson Seymour
KT

Kyle Tucker

LAD · bats L · slot 4

#4

Home Run

1+ HR

14%

Hits

1+ hits

63%

Hits

2+ hits

24%

Total Bases

2+ bases

40%

Total Bases

3+ bases

24%

Total Bases

4+ bases

17%

RBIs

1+ RBI

34%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

14%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 14% against 10% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 4 · bats L
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Carson Seymour
TE

Tommy Edman

LAD · bats S · slot 9

#9

Home Run

1+ HR

10%

Hits

1+ hits

58%

Hits

2+ hits

18%

Total Bases

2+ bases

32%

Total Bases

3+ bases

17%

Total Bases

4+ bases

12%

RBIs

1+ RBI

27%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

10%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 58%.

  • Batting 9 · bats S
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Carson Seymour
HF

Hunter Feduccia

LAD · bats L · slot 8

#8

Home Run

1+ HR

8%

Hits

1+ hits

55%

Hits

2+ hits

16%

Total Bases

2+ bases

28%

Total Bases

3+ bases

15%

Total Bases

4+ bases

10%

RBIs

1+ RBI

25%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

8%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 55%.

  • Batting 8 · bats L
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Carson Seymour
VB

Victor Bericoto

SF · bats R · slot 3

#3

Home Run

1+ HR

10%

Hits

1+ hits

55%

Hits

2+ hits

17%

Total Bases

2+ bases

30%

Total Bases

3+ bases

17%

Total Bases

4+ bases

12%

RBIs

1+ RBI

23%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

8%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 55%.

  • Batting 3 · bats R
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
BD

Bo Davidson

SF · bats L · slot 2

#2

Home Run

1+ HR

7%

Hits

1+ hits

52%

Hits

2+ hits

14%

Total Bases

2+ bases

25%

Total Bases

3+ bases

13%

Total Bases

4+ bases

9%

RBIs

1+ RBI

18%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

5%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 52% against 57%.

  • Batting 2 · bats L
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
JC

Jonah Cox

SF · bats R · slot 1

#1

Home Run

1+ HR

8%

Hits

1+ hits

52%

Hits

2+ hits

15%

Total Bases

2+ bases

25%

Total Bases

3+ bases

14%

Total Bases

4+ bases

10%

RBIs

1+ RBI

17%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

5%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 52% against 57%.

  • Batting 1 · bats R
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
DC

Drew Cavanaugh

SF · bats L · slot 6

#6

Home Run

1+ HR

4%

Hits

1+ hits

49%

Hits

2+ hits

12%

Total Bases

2+ bases

21%

Total Bases

3+ bases

9%

Total Bases

4+ bases

5%

RBIs

1+ RBI

14%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

4%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 49% against 57%.

  • Batting 6 · bats L
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
SW

Shay Whitcomb

SF · bats R · slot 5

#5

Home Run

1+ HR

8%

Hits

1+ hits

48%

Hits

2+ hits

12%

Total Bases

2+ bases

24%

Total Bases

3+ bases

13%

Total Bases

4+ bases

10%

RBIs

1+ RBI

18%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

6%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 48% against 57%.

  • Batting 5 · bats R
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
MM

Marcelo Mayer

SF · bats L · slot 4

#4

Home Run

1+ HR

6%

Hits

1+ hits

48%

Hits

2+ hits

12%

Total Bases

2+ bases

23%

Total Bases

3+ bases

11%

Total Bases

4+ bases

7%

RBIs

1+ RBI

19%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

5%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 48% against 57%.

  • Batting 4 · bats L
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
DG

Drew Gilbert

SF · bats L · slot 9

#9

Home Run

1+ HR

7%

Hits

1+ hits

47%

Hits

2+ hits

11%

Total Bases

2+ bases

22%

Total Bases

3+ bases

11%

Total Bases

4+ bases

8%

RBIs

1+ RBI

17%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

5%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 47% against 57%.

  • Batting 9 · bats L
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
SB

Scott Bandura

SF · bats L · slot 7

#7

Home Run

1+ HR

6%

Hits

1+ hits

46%

Hits

2+ hits

10%

Total Bases

2+ bases

20%

Total Bases

3+ bases

10%

Total Bases

4+ bases

7%

RBIs

1+ RBI

16%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

5%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 46% against 57%.

  • Batting 7 · bats L
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
CK

Christian Koss

SF · bats R · slot 8

#8

Home Run

1+ HR

7%

Hits

1+ hits

45%

Hits

2+ hits

9%

Total Bases

2+ bases

20%

Total Bases

3+ bases

10%

Total Bases

4+ bases

8%

RBIs

1+ RBI

17%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

5%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 45% against 57%.

  • Batting 8 · bats R
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Jack Dreyer
— SPLITS THAT MATTER

JACK DREYER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%34.5%OPS-against.630
vs Left-handedK%19.6%OPS-against.595
SF vs RHP (team)OPS.729K%21.3%

CARSON SEYMOUR SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%15.6%OPS-against.731
vs Left-handedK%16.4%OPS-against.903
LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.756K%20.0%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs JACK DREYER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs CARSON SEYMOUR

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 2·SF 0
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 9·SF 5
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAD
LAD 172 · SF 156 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-26LAD 4-3 · One-run game
2026-09-26LAD 2-0 · Pitchers duel
2026-09-20LAD 3-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAD71¢ · 71%
SF33¢ · 33%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
LAD -1.5— · —
SF +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→7.5→8.5→7.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.327L15 team wOBA
+11 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

SF OFFENSE

.273L15 team wOBA
-43 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT61° · 8mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
61°F
Wind8 mph out to CF
Humidity86%
Rain1%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE
BLAKNEY
Called K rate-0.5% vs avg
Runs per 9—
Games this yr323

Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

DODGERS 78%

Mean score sim 5.3–2.3 · projected total 7.6 runs · built on locked lineups

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

GO EDGE · $10/MO