BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAA
62-99 · +5 AL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
@SUN 3:10 PM ETSEA HOME PARK
75-86 · +3 AL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
SEATTLESEA
Weather
59°F · 8mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 2-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Yusei Kikuchi
LHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
4.88
IP
62.2
K/9
8.6
BB/9
4.2
WHIP
1.55
L5 STARTS3.09 ERA · 19.7% K · 12% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
34%
24%
22%
12%
9%
4-Seam FastballSliderSplit-FingerCutterCurveball
Logan Gilbert
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
3.81
IP
182.0
K/9
9.7
BB/9
2.4
WHIP
1.10
L5 STARTS6.53 ERA · 28.9% K · 7.4% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
23%
14%
8%
4-Seam FastballSliderSplit-FingerCurveballChangeupCutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 64%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAA SEA

Game Markets

LAA @ SEA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

64%

1st 5 Innings

SEA F5

55%

Game Total

Over 8.5

41%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

SEA -1.5

46%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

29%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore LAA by 1.21 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAA 3.40, SEA 4.61
  • Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) vs Logan Gilbert (SEA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
YK

Yusei Kikuchi

LAA SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

59%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

26%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 47% to reach 5+ against SEA
LG

Logan Gilbert

SEA SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

86%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

74%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

26%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

85%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

52%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.0 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.0 strikeouts
  • 86% to reach 5+ against LAA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

YUSEI KIKUCHI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%20.5%OPS-against.805
vs Left-handedK%23.6%OPS-against.819
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.712K%22.6%

LOGAN GILBERT SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%22.6%OPS-against.755
vs Left-handedK%30.1%OPS-against.649
LAA vs LHP (team)OPS.695K%24.9%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SEA BATTERS vs YUSEI KIKUCHI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAA BATTERS vs LOGAN GILBERT

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAA 2·SEA 1
4-game set · gm 4 of 4
2026 SEASON
LAA 8·SEA 6
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAA
LAA 170 · SEA 154 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-27SEA 8-4
2026-09-26LAA 7-5
2026-09-25LAA 6-4
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAA42¢ · 42%
SEA62¢ · 62%
Total 7
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
LAA -1.5— · —
SEA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→7last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAA OFFENSE

.289L15 team wOBA
-27 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

SEA OFFENSE

.322L15 team wOBA
+6 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT59° · 8mph in from CF
T-MOBILE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Notorious pitcher park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
59°F
Wind8 mph in from CF
Humidity73%
Rain0%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO