Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Jackson Jobe · Under 5.5 <6 Pitcher Ks
K projection runs under in this matchup
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
PIT @ DET · full-game reads
Moneyline
DET to win
58%
1st 5 Innings
DET F5
49%
Game Total
Over 8.5
48%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
51%
Run Line
DET -1.5
41%
Team Total
PIT Over 4.5
38%
Team Total
DET Over 4.5
47%
THE READ
DET projects to outscore PIT by 0.65 runs across 5,000 trials.
PIT SP · vs. DET
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
34%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
16%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
7%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
3%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
40%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
5%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
49%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
35%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
DET SP · vs. PIT
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
41%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
23%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
11%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
54%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
10%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
46%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
31%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.2 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PIT hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.
Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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