BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAD
97-62 · +1 NL WEST · L2 · 7-3 L10
@FRI 10:15 PM ETSF HOME PARK
65-94 · +4 NL WEST · L2 · 3-7 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
62°F · 17mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Tarik Skubal
LHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+118
ERA
2.85
IP
151.2
K/9
10.4
BB/9
1.6
WHIP
0.99
L5 STARTS2.67 ERA · 24.2% K · 4.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
38%
25%
19%
15%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSinkerSliderCurveball
Yunior Marte
RHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
4.66
IP
19.1
K/9
5.1
BB/9
4.2
WHIP
1.40
L5 STARTS4.89 ERA · 13.3% K · 10.8% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 67%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD SF

Game Markets

LAD @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

67%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

23%

Game Total

Over 8.5

36%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

40%

Run Line

SF -1.5

17%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

47%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

21%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore SF by 1.92 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 4.70, SF 2.77
  • Tarik Skubal (LAD) vs Yunior Marte (SF)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TS

Tarik Skubal

LAD SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

91%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

34%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

89%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

52%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

25%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.6 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.6 strikeouts
  • 91% to reach 5+ against SF
YM

Yunior Marte

SF SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

66%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

72%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

58%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 23% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TARIK SKUBAL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%30.5%OPS-against.554
vs Left-handedK%32.6%OPS-against.720
SF vs RHP (team)OPS.730K%21.2%

YUNIOR MARTE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%21.4%OPS-against.871
vs Left-handedK%4.9%OPS-against.674
LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.757K%20.0%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs TARIK SKUBAL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs YUNIOR MARTE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 0·SF 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 7·SF 5
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAD
LAD 170 · SF 156 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-20LAD 3-1
2026-09-20LAD 10-4 · Blowout
2026-09-19LAD 8-2 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAD80¢ · 80%
SF25¢ · 25%
Total 7.5
Over48¢ · 48%
Under56¢ · 56%
Run line ±1.5
LAD -1.5— · —
SF +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7→7.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.367L15 team wOBA
+51 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

SF OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT62° · 17mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
62°F
Wind17 mph out to CF
Humidity64%
Rain0%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO