BETFLYAISIGN IN
COLORADOCOL
57-102 · +5 NL WEST · L4 · 2-8 L10
@FRI 7:40 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
82-77 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 6-4 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
60°F · 7mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Tomoyuki Sugano
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+81
ERA
5.36
IP
147.2
K/9
5.5
BB/9
2.2
WHIP
1.33
L5 STARTS7.27 ERA · 17.4% K · 7% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
22%
20%
19%
11%
11%
10%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSinkerSliderSweeperCutterCurveball
Sean Burke
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.40
IP
167.0
K/9
9.6
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.20
L5 STARTS4.43 ERA · 20.2% K · 19.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
21%
18%
15%
4-Seam FastballCurveballSliderSinkerCutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Tomoyuki Sugano · Over 14.5 15+ Outs

elite efficiency, gets the bulk innings

-150 Fanatics60% book67% +7pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETWhite Sox 60%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL CWS

Game Markets

COL @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

60%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

54%

Game Total

Over 8.5

62%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

60%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

44%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

46%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

58%

THE READ

CWS projects to outscore COL by 0.92 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 4.69, CWS 5.61
  • Tomoyuki Sugano (COL) vs Sean Burke (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TS

Tomoyuki Sugano

COL SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

62%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

15%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

71%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

59%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.4 strikeouts
  • 8% to reach 5+ against CWS
SB

Sean Burke

CWS SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

64%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

8%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

69%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

34%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

57%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

44%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.4 strikeouts
  • 64% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TOMOYUKI SUGANO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%13.3%OPS-against.814
vs Left-handedK%15.3%OPS-against.862
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.716K%24.1%

SEAN BURKE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.6%OPS-against.641
vs Left-handedK%25.6%OPS-against.710
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.754K%22.0%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs TOMOYUKI SUGANO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs SEAN BURKE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·CWS 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 1·CWS 1
2 played · 17 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
53%COL
COL 28 · CWS 25 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-03-09CWS 12-3 · Blowout
2026-02-23COL 5-4 · One-run game
2025-07-06COL 6-4
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL35¢ · 35%
CWS69¢ · 69%
Total 8
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5— · —
CWS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→8.5→8→8.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.318L15 team wOBA
+2 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

CWS OFFENSE

.314L15 team wOBA
-2 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT60° · 7mph out to LF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
60°F
Wind7 mph out to LF
Humidity75%
Rain0%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO