BETFLYAISIGN IN
SAN DIEGOSD
87-70 · +2 NL WEST · L1 · 8-2 L10
@THU 10:10 PM ETLAD HOME PARK
97-60 · +1 NL WEST · W5 · 7-3 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
69°F · 5mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Nick Pivetta
RHP · SDPROBABLE
STUFF+102
ERA
3.30
IP
30.0
K/9
10.5
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.00
L5 STARTS2.05 ERA · 27.7% K · 2.4% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
58%
12%
4-Seam FastballSweeper
Tyler Glasnow
RHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
3.46
IP
67.2
K/9
11.6
BB/9
3.1
WHIP
0.96
L5 STARTS4.50 ERA · 32.8% K · 8.6% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
29%
25%
16%
Curveball4-Seam FastballSinkerSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 59%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SD LAD

Game Markets

SD @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

59%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

48%

Game Total

Over 8.5

36%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

37%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

40%

Team Total

SD Over 4.5

30%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

38%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore SD by 0.60 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SD 3.45, LAD 4.05
  • Nick Pivetta (SD) vs Tyler Glasnow (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
NP

Nick Pivetta

SD SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

21%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

2%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

37%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

24%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.5 strikeouts
  • 26% to reach 5+ against LAD
TG

Tyler Glasnow

LAD SP · vs. SD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

87%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

76%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

29%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

64%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

27%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

32%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

20%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.2 strikeouts
  • 87% to reach 5+ against SD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

NICK PIVETTA SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.8%OPS-against.612
vs Left-handedK%30.3%OPS-against.500
LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.769K%20.4%

TYLER GLASNOW SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%39.2%OPS-against.559
vs Left-handedK%29.3%OPS-against.566
SD vs RHP (team)OPS.721K%21.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs NICK PIVETTA

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SD BATTERS vs TYLER GLASNOW

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SD 0·LAD 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
SD 3·LAD 10
13 played · 6 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
63%LAD
SD 124 · LAD 207 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-23LAD 7-0 · Blowout
2026-07-05SD 5-2
2026-07-05LAD 3-0 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SD41¢ · 41%
LAD63¢ · 63%
Total 8.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
SD -1.5— · —
LAD +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→8→8.5→8→7.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SD OFFENSE

.366L15 team wOBA
+50 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

LAD OFFENSE

.369L15 team wOBA
+53 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
— ENVIRONMENT69° · 5mph out to RF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
69°F
Wind5 mph out to RF
Humidity88%
Rain1%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO