PITTSBURGHPIT
81-78 · +3 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 7-3 L10
@2026-09-24DET HOME PARK
74-85 · +4 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 4-6 L10
DETROITDET
Weather
64°F · 7mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 58%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PIT DET

Game Markets

PIT @ DET · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

DET F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

48%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

51%

Run Line

DET -1.5

42%

Team Total

PIT Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore PIT by 0.61 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: PIT 4.08, DET 4.68
  • Bubba Chandler (PIT) vs Jackson Jobe (DET)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BC

Bubba Chandler

PIT SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

28%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

2%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

32%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 28% to reach 5+ against DET
JJ

Jackson Jobe

DET SP · vs. PIT

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

27%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

2%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

38%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

24%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 31% to reach 5+ against PIT

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

DET vs LHP (team)OPS.709K%23.3%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PIT hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

PIT vs RHP (team)OPS.751K%23.3%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

DET BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PIT BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PIT 0·DET 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
PIT 5·DET 1
6 played · 13 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%DET
PIT 58 · DET 62 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-19PIT 4-3 · One-run game
2026-08-18PIT 4-1
2026-08-17DET 8-5
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PIT52¢ · 52%
DET52¢ · 52%
Total 8
Over50¢ · 50%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
PIT -1.5— · —
DET +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

PIT OFFENSE

.333L15 team wOBA
+17 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

DET OFFENSE

.351L15 team wOBA
+35 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
— ENVIRONMENT64° · 7mph out to RF
COMERICA PARK
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.97 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
64°F
Wind7 mph out to RF
Humidity53%
Rain0%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

TIGERS 58%

Mean score sim 4.1–4.7 · projected total 8.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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