BETFLYAISIGN IN
MILWAUKEEMIL
99-59 · +1 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 7-3 L10
@THU 6:05 PM ETPHI HOME PARK
87-71 · +2 NL EAST · L1 · 5-5 L10
PHILADELPHIAPHI
Weather
64°F · 13mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Bryse Wilson
RHP · MILPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.67
IP
34.1
K/9
7.9
BB/9
0.8
WHIP
1.28
L5 STARTS0.00 ERA · 31.3% K · 3.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
27%
14%
4-Seam FastballChangeup
Andrew Painter
RHP · PHIPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
5.59
IP
120.2
K/9
8.0
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.42
L5 STARTS4.16 ERA · 23.7% K · 8.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
33%
21%
14%
11%
11%
9%
4-Seam FastballSliderSplit-FingerSweeperSinkerCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBrewers 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIL PHI

Game Markets

MIL @ PHI · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIL to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

PHI F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

40%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

47%

Run Line

PHI -1.5

29%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

40%

Team Total

PHI Over 4.5

33%

THE READ

MIL projects to outscore PHI by 0.48 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIL 4.18, PHI 3.70
  • Bryse Wilson (MIL) vs Andrew Painter (PHI)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BW

Bryse Wilson

MIL SP · vs. PHI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

1%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

0%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

32%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

19%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.1 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.1 strikeouts
  • 4% to reach 5+ against PHI
AP

Andrew Painter

PHI SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

93%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

57%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 63% to reach 5+ against MIL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRYSE WILSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PHI hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%0.0%OPS-against.000
vs Left-handedK%0.0%OPS-against.116
PHI vs RHP (team)OPS.708K%21.8%

ANDREW PAINTER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%22.5%OPS-against.770
vs Left-handedK%18.6%OPS-against.786
MIL vs RHP (team)OPS.758K%22.3%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

PHI BATTERS vs BRYSE WILSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIL BATTERS vs ANDREW PAINTER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIL 1·PHI 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIL 3·PHI 2
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
51%PHI
MIL 51 · PHI 53 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-23MIL 4-1
2026-09-22PHI 6-4
2026-06-14MIL 4-0
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIL50¢ · 50%
PHI54¢ · 54%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
MIL -1.5— · —
PHI +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→7→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIL OFFENSE

.324L15 team wOBA
+8 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

PHI OFFENSE

.294L15 team wOBA
-22 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT64° · 13mph out to LF
CITIZENS BANK PARK
110HR
HR factor1.10 · +
Runs factor1.02 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

HR-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
64°F
Wind13 mph out to LF
Humidity53%
Rain0%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO