LOS ANGELESLAD
97-61 · +1 NL WEST · L1 · 7-3 L10
@2026-09-24SF HOME PARK
65-94 · +4 NL WEST · L2 · 3-7 L10
SAN FRANCISCOSF
Weather
72°F · 15mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 68%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAD SF

Game Markets

LAD @ SF · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

68%

1st 5 Innings

SF F5

24%

Game Total

Over 8.5

40%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

43%

Run Line

SF -1.5

18%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

51%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

23%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore SF by 2.08 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAD 5.05, SF 2.97
  • Tarik Skubal (LAD) vs Yunior Marte (SF)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TS

Tarik Skubal

LAD SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

87%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

76%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

28%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

81%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

39%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

38%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

24%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.2 strikeouts
  • 87% to reach 5+ against SF
YM

Yunior Marte

SF SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

66%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

74%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

61%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 22% to reach 5+ against LAD

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SF vs LHP (team)OPS.667K%23.3%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.768K%20.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SF BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAD BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAD 0·SF 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAD 7·SF 5
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAD
LAD 170 · SF 156 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-20LAD 3-1
2026-09-20LAD 10-4 · Blowout
2026-09-19LAD 8-2 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAD80¢ · 80%
SF25¢ · 25%
Total 7.5
Over48¢ · 48%
Under56¢ · 56%
Run line ±1.5
LAD -1.5— · —
SF +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAD OFFENSE

.368L15 team wOBA
+52 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

SF OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT72° · 15mph out to CF
ORACLE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.90 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Marine air kills carry to RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
72°F
Wind15 mph out to CF
Humidity63%
Rain0%

Wind out to CF · HR tailwind.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

DODGERS 68%

Mean score sim 5.0–3.0 · projected total 8.0 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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