BETFLYAISIGN IN
LOS ANGELESLAA
60-98 · +5 AL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@THU 9:40 PM ETSEA HOME PARK
73-84 · +3 AL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
SEATTLESEA
Weather
56°F · 3mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Grayson Rodriguez
RHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
5.96
IP
93.2
K/9
8.0
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.54
L5 STARTS5.09 ERA · 17.9% K · 6.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
53%
20%
14%
12%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSlider
Bryan Woo
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
3.92
IP
167.2
K/9
9.0
BB/9
1.9
WHIP
1.08
L5 STARTS3.09 ERA · 24.8% K · 5.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
48%
18%
15%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderSweeperChangeup
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 62%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAA SEA

Game Markets

LAA @ SEA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

62%

1st 5 Innings

SEA F5

53%

Game Total

Over 8.5

43%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

SEA -1.5

43%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

31%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore LAA by 1.04 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAA 3.54, SEA 4.58
  • Grayson Rodriguez (LAA) vs Bryan Woo (SEA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GR

Grayson Rodriguez

LAA SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

77%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

35%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 48% to reach 5+ against SEA
BW

Bryan Woo

SEA SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

70%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

12%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

86%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

42%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.8 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.8 strikeouts
  • 70% to reach 5+ against LAA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%20.9%OPS-against.694
vs Left-handedK%18.9%OPS-against.944
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.709K%22.7%

BRYAN WOO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.1%OPS-against.583
vs Left-handedK%22.4%OPS-against.685
LAA vs RHP (team)OPS.672K%25.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SEA BATTERS vs GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAA BATTERS vs BRYAN WOO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAA 0·SEA 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
LAA 6·SEA 5
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAA
LAA 168 · SEA 153 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-17SEA 7-2
2026-09-16LAA 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-09-15LAA 6-4
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAA38¢ · 38%
SEA67¢ · 67%
Total 7.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under56¢ · 56%
Run line ±1.5
LAA -1.5— · —
SEA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAA OFFENSE

.306L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

SEA OFFENSE

.305L15 team wOBA
-11 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT56° · 3mph in from CF
T-MOBILE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Notorious pitcher park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
56°F
Wind3 mph in from CF
Humidity81%
Rain21%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO