CHICAGOCWS
81-77 · +2 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 5-5 L10
@THU 2:10 PM ETKC HOME PARK
68-90 · +5 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 2-8 L10
KANSAS CITYKC
Weather
75°F · 3mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
David Sandlin
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
6.29
IP
34.1
K/9
8.7
BB/9
3.4
WHIP
1.28
L5 STARTS5.77 ERA · 24.3% K · 8.7% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
36%
28%
16%
4-Seam FastballCurveballCutter
Randy Dobnak
RHP · KCPROBABLE
STUFF+
ERA
3.08
IP
73.0
K/9
5.9
BB/9
3.1
WHIP
1.33
L5 STARTS5.80 ERA · 17% K · 4.5% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRoyals 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS KC

Game Markets

CWS @ KC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CWS to win

49%

1st 5 Innings

KC F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

56%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

57%

Run Line

KC -1.5

34%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

48%

Team Total

KC Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 9.61 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: CWS 4.92, KC 4.70
  • David Sandlin (CWS) vs Randy Dobnak (KC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DS

David Sandlin

CWS SP · vs. KC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

47%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

63%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

26%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

57%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

43%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 47% to reach 5+ against KC
RD

Randy Dobnak

KC SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

84%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

48%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

71%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

59%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 17% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

DAVID SANDLIN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.9%OPS-against.509
vs Left-handedK%20.7%OPS-against.889
KC vs RHP (team)OPS.724K%20.5%

RANDY DOBNAK SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%17.9%OPS-against.636
vs Left-handedK%14.1%OPS-against.757
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.714K%24.1%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

KC BATTERS vs DAVID SANDLIN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs RANDY DOBNAK

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 1·KC 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 9·KC 5
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%KC
CWS 144 · KC 186 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-23KC 5-4 · One-run game
2026-09-22CWS 14-11 · Slugfest
2026-06-28KC 5-4 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS57¢ · 57%
KC49¢ · 49%
Total 9
Over55¢ · 55%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5 ·
KC +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.511.59last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-13 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

KC OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT75° · 3mph out to LF
KAUFFMAN STADIUM
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Big OF — triples up, HR down.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
75°F
Wind3 mph out to LF
Humidity49%
Rain1%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

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