CLEVELANDCLE
83-76 · +1 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 8-2 L10
@2026-09-24KC HOME PARK
68-91 · +5 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 2-8 L10
KANSAS CITYKC
Weather
74°F · 9mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 60%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CLE KC

Game Markets

CLE @ KC · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

60%

1st 5 Innings

KC F5

31%

Game Total

Over 8.5

37%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

40%

Run Line

KC -1.5

23%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

42%

Team Total

KC Over 4.5

26%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore KC by 1.20 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CLE 4.38, KC 3.18
  • Gavin Williams (CLE) vs Noah Cameron (KC)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GW

Gavin Williams

CLE SP · vs. KC

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

93%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

85%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

73%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

39%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

68%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

21%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

31%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

19%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.9 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.9 strikeouts
  • 93% to reach 5+ against KC
NC

Noah Cameron

KC SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

50%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

76%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

10%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

39%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 50% to reach 5+ against CLE

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how KC hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

KC vs LHP (team)OPS.696K%21.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CLE vs RHP (team)OPS.700K%20.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

KC BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CLE BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CLE 0·KC 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
CLE 7·KC 5
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
56%CLE
CLE 184 · KC 142 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-30CLE 11-1 · Blowout
2026-08-29KC 8-3
2026-08-28KC 3-0 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CLE58¢ · 58%
KC45¢ · 45%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
CLE -1.5— · —
KC +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CLE OFFENSE

.315L15 team wOBA
-1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

KC OFFENSE

.293L15 team wOBA
-23 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT74° · 9mph in from CF
KAUFFMAN STADIUM
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Big OF — triples up, HR down.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
74°F
Wind9 mph in from CF
Humidity61%
Rain1%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GUARDIANS 60%

Mean score sim 4.4–3.2 · projected total 7.6 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

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