Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Josh Bell · Over 0.5 1+ RBIs
cleanup spot + hot bat = RBI machine
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
MIN @ SF · full-game reads
Moneyline
MIN to win
54%
1st 5 Innings
SF F5
36%
Game Total
Over 8.5
44%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
51%
Run Line
SF -1.5
29%
Team Total
MIN Over 4.5
45%
Team Total
SF Over 4.5
35%
THE READ
MIN projects to outscore SF by 0.71 runs across 5,000 trials.
MIN SP · vs. SF
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
61%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
43%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
25%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
7%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
76%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
37%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
52%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
38%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.2 Ks.
SF SP · vs. MIN
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
13%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
5%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
35%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
4%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
49%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
35%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Marine air kills carry to RCF.
Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.
Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.
Mean score sim 4.5–3.8 · projected total 8.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
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