BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
72-83 · +3 AL WEST · L1 · 5-5 L10
@SUN 3:10 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
57-98 · +5 NL WEST · W1 · 2-8 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
72°F · 8mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Kade Anderson
LHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
5.33
IP
25.1
K/9
7.5
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.42
L5 STARTS5.53 ERA · 19.6% K · 7.5% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Tomoyuki Sugano
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+81
ERA
5.49
IP
142.2
K/9
5.4
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.36
L5 STARTS9.38 ERA · 14.7% K · 6% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
22%
20%
19%
11%
11%
10%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSinkerSliderSweeperCutterCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 61%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA COL

Game Markets

SEA @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

61%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

35%

Game Total

Over 8.5

73%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

72%

Run Line

COL -1.5

26%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

69%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

53%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore COL by 1.57 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SEA 6.76, COL 5.19
  • Kade Anderson (SEA) vs Tomoyuki Sugano (COL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
KA

Kade Anderson

SEA SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

74%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

21%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.4 strikeouts
  • 24% to reach 5+ against COL
TS

Tomoyuki Sugano

COL SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

34%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

10%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

65%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.0 strikeouts
  • 5% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

KADE ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%18.8%OPS-against.735
vs Left-handedK%22.7%OPS-against.105
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.754K%21.9%

TOMOYUKI SUGANO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%13.5%OPS-against.821
vs Left-handedK%14.4%OPS-against.886
SEA vs LHP (team)OPS.653K%23.9%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs KADE ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs TOMOYUKI SUGANO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 1·COL 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 2·COL 2
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%SEA
SEA 46 · COL 38 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-20COL 5-3
2026-09-19SEA 5-4 · One-run game
2026-03-17SEA 10-6 · Slugfest
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA62¢ · 62%
COL42¢ · 42%
Total 10.5
Over50¢ · 50%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5— · —
COL +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT10.5→11→11.5→10.5→11.5→10.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.321L15 team wOBA
+5 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

COL OFFENSE

.329L15 team wOBA
+13 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT72° · 8mph out to LF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
72°F
Wind8 mph out to LF
Humidity46%
Rain1%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO