BETFLYAISIGN IN
MINNESOTAMIN
72-83 · +4 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 3-7 L10
@SUN 4:07 PM ETLAA HOME PARK
60-95 · +5 AL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
LOS ANGELESLAA
Weather
79°F · 7mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 1-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Dean Kremer
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+88
ERA
5.35
IP
77.1
K/9
8.6
BB/9
3.0
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS5.41 ERA · 20.6% K · 9.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
39%
21%
Split-Finger4-Seam Fastball
Ryan Johnson
RHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
4.88
IP
90.1
K/9
7.0
BB/9
3.9
WHIP
1.34
L5 STARTS1.80 ERA · 19.7% K · 8.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
31%
28%
26%
15%
CutterSinkerSplit-FingerSweeper
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 60%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN LAA

Game Markets

MIN @ LAA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

60%

1st 5 Innings

LAA F5

37%

Game Total

Over 8.5

55%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

57%

Run Line

LAA -1.5

26%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

55%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

39%

THE READ

MIN projects to outscore LAA by 1.30 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIN 5.42, LAA 4.12
  • Dean Kremer (MIN) vs Ryan Johnson (LAA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DK

Dean Kremer

MIN SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

48%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

7%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.6 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.6 strikeouts
  • 51% to reach 5+ against LAA
RJ

Ryan Johnson

LAA SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

98%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

70%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

75%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

62%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 44% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

DEAN KREMER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%29.0%OPS-against.842
vs Left-handedK%20.0%OPS-against.658
LAA vs RHP (team)OPS.675K%25.6%

RYAN JOHNSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%16.8%OPS-against.734
vs Left-handedK%18.9%OPS-against.774
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.739K%20.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAA BATTERS vs DEAN KREMER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs RYAN JOHNSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 1·LAA 2
4-game set · gm 4 of 4
2026 SEASON
MIN 3·LAA 3
6 played · 13 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
50%MIN
MIN 56 · LAA 57 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-20LAA 6-5 · One-run game
2026-09-19MIN 3-0 · Pitchers duel
2026-09-18LAA 5-4 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN53¢ · 53%
LAA50¢ · 50%
Total 8.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5— · —
LAA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→8.5→7→7.5→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.275L15 team wOBA
-41 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

LAA OFFENSE

.294L15 team wOBA
-23 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT79° · 7mph out to CF
ANGEL STADIUM
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight pitcher tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
79°F
Wind7 mph out to CF
Humidity58%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO