BETFLYAISIGN IN
TORONTOTOR
76-78 · +4 AL EAST · L1 · 4-6 L10
@SAT 7:05 PM ETTEX HOME PARK
77-77 · +2 AL WEST · W1 · 6-4 L10
TEXASTEX
Weather
96°F · 8mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
José Soriano
RHP · TORPROBABLE
STUFF+99
ERA
3.56
IP
169.1
K/9
8.4
BB/9
3.8
WHIP
1.27
L5 STARTS5.22 ERA · 18% K · 7.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
26%
23%
20%
SinkerCurveball4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSlider
Cal Quantrill
RHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
2.90
IP
108.2
K/9
6.7
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.05
L5 STARTS2.32 ERA · 23.3% K · 2.6% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
28%
19%
19%
CutterSinker4-Seam FastballSplit-Finger
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBlue Jays 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TOR TEX

Game Markets

TOR @ TEX · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TOR to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

TEX F5

37%

Game Total

Over 8.5

49%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

TEX -1.5

29%

Team Total

TOR Over 4.5

48%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

38%

THE READ

TOR projects to outscore TEX by 0.73 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TOR 4.78, TEX 4.04
  • José Soriano (TOR) vs Cal Quantrill (TEX)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JS

José Soriano

TOR SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

62%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

53%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

19%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

42%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

29%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 62% to reach 5+ against TEX
CQ

Cal Quantrill

TEX SP · vs. TOR

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

79%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

13%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

64%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

50%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.1 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.1 strikeouts
  • 18% to reach 5+ against TOR

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

JOSÉ SORIANO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%28.1%OPS-against.548
vs Left-handedK%22.3%OPS-against.701
TEX vs RHP (team)OPS.696K%22.4%

CAL QUANTRILL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TOR hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.4%OPS-against.546
vs Left-handedK%21.7%OPS-against.694
TOR vs RHP (team)OPS.711K%18.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

TEX BATTERS vs JOSÉ SORIANO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TOR BATTERS vs CAL QUANTRILL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TOR 0·TEX 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
TOR 0·TEX 5
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
57%TOR
TOR 68 · TEX 51 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-19TEX 7-1 · Blowout
2026-06-28TEX 3-2 · One-run game
2026-06-27TEX 7-4
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
TOR55¢ · 55%
TEX49¢ · 49%
Total 8.5
Over50¢ · 50%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
TOR -1.5— · —
TEX +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→8→7.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

TOR OFFENSE

.331L15 team wOBA
+15 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

TEX OFFENSE

.319L15 team wOBA
+3 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT96° · 8mph out to CF
GLOBE LIFE FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Neutral with roof.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
96°F
Wind8 mph out to CF
Humidity33%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO