SEATTLESEA
72-82 · +3 AL WEST · W2 · 5-5 L10
@SAT 8:10 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
56-98 · +5 NL WEST · L3 · 1-9 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
64°F · 9mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Bryce Miller
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+110
ERA
4.19
IP
107.1
K/9
8.9
BB/9
2.9
WHIP
1.16
L5 STARTS7.83 ERA · 20.8% K · 17% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
44%
24%
12%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSliderSweeper
Jose Quintana
LHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+80
ERA
5.27
IP
41.0
K/9
4.4
BB/9
3.7
WHIP
1.51
L5 STARTS5.86 ERA · 11.1% K · 6.1% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
21%
19%
16%
14%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSinkerCurveballSlurve
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 63%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA COL

Game Markets

SEA @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

63%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

33%

Game Total

Over 8.5

71%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

69%

Run Line

COL -1.5

24%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

67%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

50%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore COL by 1.84 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SEA 6.69, COL 4.85
  • Bryce Miller (SEA) vs Jose Quintana (COL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BM

Bryce Miller

SEA SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

60%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

87%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

20%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

64%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

50%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.0 strikeouts
  • 60% to reach 5+ against COL
JQ

Jose Quintana

COL SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

18%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

48%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.3 strikeouts
  • 7% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRYCE MILLER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%27.5%OPS-against.621
vs Left-handedK%21.7%OPS-against.785
COL vs LHP (team)OPS.713K%24.6%

JOSE QUINTANA SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%9.9%OPS-against.795
vs Left-handedK%15.4%OPS-against.107
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.715K%22.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs BRYCE MILLER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs JOSE QUINTANA

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 1·COL 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 2·COL 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%SEA
SEA 46 · COL 37 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-19SEA 5-4 · One-run game
2026-03-17SEA 10-6 · Slugfest
2026-03-11COL 11-7 · Slugfest
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA43¢ · 43%
COL64¢ · 64%
Total 9.5
Over49¢ · 49%
Under58¢ · 58%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5 ·
COL +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT10.51010.59.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

COL OFFENSE

.331L15 team wOBA
+15 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT64° · 9mph out to RF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
64°F
Wind9 mph out to RF
Humidity63%
Rain18%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO