Not yet announced by the team.
Not yet announced by the team.
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Cam Schlittler · Over 6.5 7+ Ks
K-monster arsenal
Cam Schlittler · Over 5.5 6+ Ks
punch-out artist with the right matchup
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
NYY @ ARI · full-game reads
Moneyline
NYY to win
60%
1st 5 Innings
ARI F5
32%
Game Total
Over 8.5
40%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
41%
Run Line
ARI -1.5
24%
Team Total
NYY Over 4.5
45%
Team Total
ARI Over 4.5
28%
THE READ
NYY projects to outscore ARI by 1.27 runs across 5,000 trials.
NYY SP · vs. ARI
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
92%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
82%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
69%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
53%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
36%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
91%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
60%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
52%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
37%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.7 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
ARI SP · vs. NYY
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
37%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
21%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
100%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
98%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
79%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
69%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.0 Ks.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits RHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Slight offensive tilt.
Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Mean score sim 4.6–3.3 · projected total 7.9 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
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