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DETROITDET
73-81 · +3 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 7-3 L10
@SAT 2:10 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
78-76 · +2 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 3-7 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
65°F · 11mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Jackson Jobe
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.89
IP
34.2
K/9
8.8
BB/9
3.4
WHIP
1.27
L5 STARTS3.20 ERA · 23.9% K · 10.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Sean Burke
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.47
IP
161.0
K/9
9.7
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.20
L5 STARTS5.76 ERA · 19.4% K · 16.3% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
21%
18%
15%
4-Seam FastballCurveballSliderSinkerCutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

DET CWS

Game Markets

DET @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

51%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

52%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

33%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

47%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore CWS by 0.29 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: DET 4.73, CWS 4.44
  • Jackson Jobe (DET) vs Sean Burke (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JJ

Jackson Jobe

DET SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

58%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

10%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.8 strikeouts
  • 32% to reach 5+ against CWS
SB

Sean Burke

CWS SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

58%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

6%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

55%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

20%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

50%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

36%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.0 strikeouts
  • 58% to reach 5+ against DET

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

JACKSON JOBE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.4%OPS-against.876
vs Left-handedK%22.4%OPS-against.729
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.714K%23.9%

SEAN BURKE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.5%OPS-against.637
vs Left-handedK%26.1%OPS-against.718
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.725K%22.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs JACKSON JOBE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

DET BATTERS vs SEAN BURKE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
DET 1·CWS 1
4-game set · gm 3 of 4
2026 SEASON
DET 4·CWS 7
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%DET
DET 155 · CWS 144 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-18DET 11-8 · Slugfest
2026-09-17CWS 3-1
2026-08-16CWS 7-5
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
DET47¢ · 47%
CWS57¢ · 57%
Total 8
Over49¢ · 49%
Under57¢ · 57%
Run line ±1.5
DET -1.5— · —
CWS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→8.5→19.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

DET OFFENSE

.338L15 team wOBA
+22 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

CWS OFFENSE

.296L15 team wOBA
-20 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT65° · 11mph out to LF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
65°F
Wind11 mph out to LF
Humidity94%
Rain23%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO