BETFLYAISIGN IN
SAN FRANCISCOSF
64-89 · +4 NL WEST · W2 · 5-5 L10
@FRI 10:15 PM ETLAD HOME PARK
93-60 · +1 NL WEST · W1 · 7-3 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
70°F · 5mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Cesar Perdomo
LHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.68
IP
14.2
K/9
6.8
BB/9
2.5
WHIP
1.36
L5 STARTS3.80 ERA · 18% K · 6.6% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Tyler Glasnow
RHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
3.50
IP
61.2
K/9
11.2
BB/9
3.1
WHIP
0.97
L5 STARTS5.09 ERA · 30.9% K · 8.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
29%
25%
16%
Curveball4-Seam FastballSinkerSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Tyler Glasnow · Over 6.5 7+ Ks

K-monster arsenal

-138 FanDuel58% book66% +8pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 61%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SF LAD

Game Markets

SF @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

61%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

53%

Game Total

Over 8.5

41%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

44%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

43%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

31%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

43%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore SF by 0.92 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SF 3.51, LAD 4.43
  • Cesar Perdomo (SF) vs Tyler Glasnow (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CP

Cesar Perdomo

SF SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

54%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

14%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

54%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

40%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.9 strikeouts
  • 34% to reach 5+ against LAD
TG

Tyler Glasnow

LAD SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

90%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

80%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

66%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

35%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

81%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

46%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

26%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.6 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.6 strikeouts
  • 90% to reach 5+ against SF

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

CESAR PERDOMO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%18.4%OPS-against.581
vs Left-handedK%17.4%OPS-against.103
LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.765K%20.5%

TYLER GLASNOW SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%36.8%OPS-against.595
vs Left-handedK%29.2%OPS-against.551
SF vs LHP (team)OPS.669K%23.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs CESAR PERDOMO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SF BATTERS vs TYLER GLASNOW

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SF 0·LAD 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SF 5·LAD 4
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAD
SF 156 · LAD 167 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-15LAD 5-2
2026-05-14LAD 4-0
2026-05-13SF 6-2
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SF29¢ · 29%
LAD75¢ · 75%
Total 8
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
SF -1.5— · —
LAD +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5→8→7.5→8→7.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SF OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

LAD OFFENSE

.341L15 team wOBA
+25 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
— ENVIRONMENT70° · 5mph out to CF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
70°F
Wind5 mph out to CF
Humidity65%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO