BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
71-82 · +3 AL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
@FRI 8:10 PM ETCOL HOME PARK
56-97 · +5 NL WEST · L2 · 1-9 L10
COLORADOCOL
Weather
68°F · 10mph out to LF
Home plate ump
Mike Estabrook K+0.0%
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Bryan Woo
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
3.88
IP
162.1
K/9
9.0
BB/9
1.9
WHIP
1.05
L5 STARTS2.70 ERA · 26.7% K · 6% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
48%
18%
15%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderSweeperChangeup
Gabriel Hughes
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
6.37
IP
59.1
K/9
7.6
BB/9
3.5
WHIP
1.45
L5 STARTS5.94 ERA · 17.2% K · 10.1% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Jake McCarthy · Under 1.5 <2 Total Bases

vs this arm — career SLG over .500

-114 Caesars53% book60% +7pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 58%

169 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 21

SEA COL

Game Markets

SEA @ COL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

COL F5

36%

Game Total

Over 8.5

69%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

66%

Run Line

COL -1.5

29%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

64%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

52%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore COL by 1.27 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SEA 6.24, COL 4.97
  • Bryan Woo (SEA) vs Gabriel Hughes (COL)
  • Run on confirmed lineups
BW

Bryan Woo

SEA SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

62%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

8%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

75%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

46%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

67%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 62% to reach 5+ against COL
GH

Gabriel Hughes

COL SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

10%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

0%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.6 strikeouts
  • 10% to reach 5+ against SEA
HG

Hunter Goodman

COL · bats R · slot 4

#4

Home Run

1+ HR

33%

Hits

1+ hits

70%

Hits

2+ hits

30%

Total Bases

2+ bases

53%

Total Bases

3+ bases

41%

Total Bases

4+ bases

36%

RBIs

1+ RBI

48%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

25%

THE READ

Stands out most on 1+ HR — 33% against 17% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 4 · bats R
  • Facing Bryan Woo
DC

Dominic Canzone

SEA · bats L · slot 3

#3

Home Run

1+ HR

26%

Hits

1+ hits

80%

Hits

2+ hits

44%

Total Bases

2+ bases

61%

Total Bases

3+ bases

43%

Total Bases

4+ bases

34%

RBIs

1+ RBI

50%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

27%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 27% against 16% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 3 · bats L
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
CR

Cal Raleigh

SEA · bats S · slot 4

#4

Home Run

1+ HR

27%

Hits

1+ hits

70%

Hits

2+ hits

29%

Total Bases

2+ bases

50%

Total Bases

3+ bases

36%

Total Bases

4+ bases

30%

RBIs

1+ RBI

46%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

23%

THE READ

Stands out most on 1+ HR — 27% against 17% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 4 · bats S
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
RA

Randy Arozarena

SEA · bats R · slot 2

#2

Home Run

1+ HR

23%

Hits

1+ hits

78%

Hits

2+ hits

41%

Total Bases

2+ bases

55%

Total Bases

3+ bases

39%

Total Bases

4+ bases

30%

RBIs

1+ RBI

43%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

20%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ hits — 41% against 30% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 2 · bats R
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
MM

Mickey Moniak

COL · bats L · slot 7

#7

Home Run

1+ HR

23%

Hits

1+ hits

65%

Hits

2+ hits

25%

Total Bases

2+ bases

44%

Total Bases

3+ bases

32%

Total Bases

4+ bases

26%

RBIs

1+ RBI

37%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

17%

THE READ

Stands out most on 1+ HR — 23% against 17% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 7 · bats L
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Bryan Woo
JR

Julio Rodríguez

SEA · bats R · slot 5

#5

Home Run

1+ HR

19%

Hits

1+ hits

75%

Hits

2+ hits

36%

Total Bases

2+ bases

50%

Total Bases

3+ bases

33%

Total Bases

4+ bases

24%

RBIs

1+ RBI

41%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

19%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 19% against 16% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 5 · bats R
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
JM

Jake McCarthy

COL · bats L · slot 1

#1

Home Run

1+ HR

14%

Hits

1+ hits

75%

Hits

2+ hits

35%

Total Bases

2+ bases

49%

Total Bases

3+ bases

32%

Total Bases

4+ bases

22%

RBIs

1+ RBI

29%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

10%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ hits — 35% against 30% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 1 · bats L
  • Facing Bryan Woo
TR

TJ Rumfield

COL · bats L · slot 3

#3

Home Run

1+ HR

14%

Hits

1+ hits

74%

Hits

2+ hits

34%

Total Bases

2+ bases

48%

Total Bases

3+ bases

30%

Total Bases

4+ bases

20%

RBIs

1+ RBI

36%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

13%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ hits — 34% against 30% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 3 · bats L
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Bryan Woo
JN

Josh Naylor

SEA · bats L · slot 6

#6

Home Run

1+ HR

10%

Hits

1+ hits

73%

Hits

2+ hits

34%

Total Bases

2+ bases

43%

Total Bases

3+ bases

24%

Total Bases

4+ bases

15%

RBIs

1+ RBI

34%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

13%

THE READ

Stands out most on 2+ hits — 34% against 30% for the rest of tonight's lineups.

  • Batting 6 · bats L
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
JC

J.P. Crawford

SEA · bats L · slot 1

#1

Home Run

1+ HR

15%

Hits

1+ hits

71%

Hits

2+ hits

32%

Total Bases

2+ bases

45%

Total Bases

3+ bases

27%

Total Bases

4+ bases

19%

RBIs

1+ RBI

34%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

13%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 71%.

  • Batting 1 · bats L
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
CY

Cole Young

SEA · bats L · slot 7

#7

Home Run

1+ HR

14%

Hits

1+ hits

70%

Hits

2+ hits

30%

Total Bases

2+ bases

42%

Total Bases

3+ bases

26%

Total Bases

4+ bases

18%

RBIs

1+ RBI

36%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

16%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 70%.

  • Batting 7 · bats L
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
AA

Adael Amador

COL · bats S · slot 8

#8

Home Run

1+ HR

18%

Hits

1+ hits

65%

Hits

2+ hits

24%

Total Bases

2+ bases

41%

Total Bases

3+ bases

26%

Total Bases

4+ bases

20%

RBIs

1+ RBI

32%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

13%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 65%.

  • Batting 8 · bats S
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Bryan Woo
CN

Connor Norby

COL · bats R · slot 2

#2

Home Run

1+ HR

16%

Hits

1+ hits

68%

Hits

2+ hits

29%

Total Bases

2+ bases

45%

Total Bases

3+ bases

28%

Total Bases

4+ bases

20%

RBIs

1+ RBI

33%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

14%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 68%.

  • Batting 2 · bats R
  • Confirmed hot — recent form backed by contact quality
  • Facing Bryan Woo
LM

Lazaro Montes

SEA · bats L · slot 8

#8

Home Run

1+ HR

13%

Hits

1+ hits

65%

Hits

2+ hits

25%

Total Bases

2+ bases

40%

Total Bases

3+ bases

25%

Total Bases

4+ bases

18%

RBIs

1+ RBI

36%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

15%

THE READ

Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 65%.

  • Batting 8 · bats L
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
KK

Kyle Karros

COL · bats R · slot 6

#6

Home Run

1+ HR

13%

Hits

1+ hits

65%

Hits

2+ hits

24%

Total Bases

2+ bases

39%

Total Bases

3+ bases

24%

Total Bases

4+ bases

17%

RBIs

1+ RBI

31%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

12%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 65% against 69%.

  • Batting 6 · bats R
  • Facing Bryan Woo
CC

Cole Carrigg

COL · bats S · slot 5

#5

Home Run

1+ HR

14%

Hits

1+ hits

64%

Hits

2+ hits

26%

Total Bases

2+ bases

41%

Total Bases

3+ bases

25%

Total Bases

4+ bases

18%

RBIs

1+ RBI

30%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

11%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 64% against 69%.

  • Batting 5 · bats S
  • Facing Bryan Woo
BR

Brock Rodden

SEA · bats S · slot 9

#9

Home Run

1+ HR

10%

Hits

1+ hits

64%

Hits

2+ hits

25%

Total Bases

2+ bases

38%

Total Bases

3+ bases

22%

Total Bases

4+ bases

14%

RBIs

1+ RBI

31%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

12%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 64% against 69%.

  • Batting 9 · bats S
  • Genuinely cold — the contact quality agrees
  • Facing Gabriel Hughes
ET

Ezequiel Tovar

COL · bats R · slot 9

#9

Home Run

1+ HR

10%

Hits

1+ hits

57%

Hits

2+ hits

17%

Total Bases

2+ bases

30%

Total Bases

3+ bases

16%

Total Bases

4+ bases

12%

RBIs

1+ RBI

23%

RBIs

2+ RBIs

8%

THE READ

Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 57% against 69%.

  • Batting 9 · bats R
  • Facing Bryan Woo
— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRYAN WOO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%28.0%OPS-against.557
vs Left-handedK%22.5%OPS-against.686
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.755K%21.9%

GABRIEL HUGHES SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%26.4%OPS-against.790
vs Left-handedK%15.1%OPS-against.756
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.714K%22.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

COL BATTERS vs BRYAN WOO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs GABRIEL HUGHES

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 0·COL 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 1·COL 1
2 played · 17 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%SEA
SEA 45 · COL 37 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-03-17SEA 10-6 · Slugfest
2026-03-11COL 11-7 · Slugfest
2025-09-26SEA 6-2
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SEA66¢ · 66%
COL38¢ · 38%
Total 10.5
Over54¢ · 54%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
SEA -1.5— · —
COL +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.329L15 team wOBA
+13 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

COL OFFENSE

.333L15 team wOBA
+17 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
— ENVIRONMENT68° · 10mph out to LF
COORS FIELD
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.18 · +
Doubles factor1.18 · +

Altitude — extreme run environment.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
68°F
Wind10 mph out to LF
Humidity65%
Rain39%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE
ESTABROOK
Called K rate0.0% vs avg
Runs per 9—
Games this yr309

Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

MARINERS 58%

Mean score sim 6.2–5.0 · projected total 11.2 runs · built on locked lineups

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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