BETFLYAISIGN IN
ATH
61-92 · +4 AL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@FRI 7:10 PM ETCLE HOME PARK
78-75 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W2 · 6-4 L10
CLEVELANDCLE
Weather
69°F · 8mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Mason Barnett
RHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+99
ERA
7.08
IP
40.2
K/9
8.4
BB/9
5.3
WHIP
1.62
L5 STARTS10.27 ERA · 17.9% K · 12.6% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
42%
25%
18%
4-Seam FastballSliderSweeper
Daniel Espino
RHP · CLEPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
2.92
IP
12.1
K/9
15.3
BB/9
2.9
WHIP
1.22
L5 STARTS1.48 ERA · 36% K · 0% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
66%
4-Seam Fastball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 71%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ATH CLE

Game Markets

ATH @ CLE · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

71%

1st 5 Innings

CLE F5

65%

Game Total

Over 8.5

38%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

44%

Run Line

CLE -1.5

53%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

21%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

48%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore ATH by 1.92 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: ATH 2.85, CLE 4.77
  • Mason Barnett (ATH) vs Daniel Espino (CLE)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MB

Mason Barnett

ATH SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

9%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

0%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

44%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

30%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 23% to reach 5+ against CLE
DE

Daniel Espino

CLE SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

99%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

97%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

92%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

84%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

72%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

93%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

70%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

36%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

23%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 10.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 10.2 strikeouts
  • 99% to reach 5+ against ATH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

MASON BARNETT SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%28.4%OPS-against.924
vs Left-handedK%13.4%OPS-against.889
CLE vs RHP (team)OPS.701K%20.7%

DANIEL ESPINO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%42.3%OPS-against.868
vs Left-handedK%38.5%OPS-against.443
ATH vs RHP (team)OPS.717K%21.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CLE BATTERS vs MASON BARNETT

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ATH BATTERS vs DANIEL ESPINO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ATH 0·CLE 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
ATH 1·CLE 4
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
95%CLE
ATH 4 · CLE 70 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-03ATH 7-1 · Blowout
2026-05-02CLE 14-6 · Blowout
2026-05-02CLE 8-5
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

ATH OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-13 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

CLE OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-14 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT69° · 8mph in from CF
PROGRESSIVE FIELD
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Pitcher-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
69°F
Wind8 mph in from CF
Humidity59%
Rain0%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO