SAN FRANCISCOSF
64-89 · +4 NL WEST · W2 · 5-5 L10
@2026-09-17LAD HOME PARK
93-60 · +1 NL WEST · W1 · 7-3 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
78°F · 11mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 63%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SF LAD

Game Markets

SF @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

63%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

55%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

47%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

45%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

32%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore SF by 1.10 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SF 3.63, LAD 4.73
  • Cesar Perdomo (SF) vs Tyler Glasnow (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CP

Cesar Perdomo

SF SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

82%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

39%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

67%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

53%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.4 strikeouts
  • 45% to reach 5+ against LAD
TG

Tyler Glasnow

LAD SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

91%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

36%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

81%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

45%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

41%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

27%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.7 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.7 strikeouts
  • 91% to reach 5+ against SF

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAD vs LHP (team)OPS.745K%20.2%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SF vs RHP (team)OPS.738K%20.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SF BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SF 0·LAD 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
SF 5·LAD 4
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAD
SF 156 · LAD 167 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-15LAD 5-2
2026-05-14LAD 4-0
2026-05-13SF 6-2
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SF29¢ · 29%
LAD75¢ · 75%
Total 7.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
SF -1.5 ·
LAD +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT88.587.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

SF OFFENSE

.323L15 team wOBA
+7 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

LAD OFFENSE

.341L15 team wOBA
+25 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
ENVIRONMENT78° · 11mph out to CF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
78°F
Wind11 mph out to CF
Humidity55%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

DODGERS 63%

Mean score sim 3.64.7 · projected total 8.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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