BETFLYAISIGN IN
MINNESOTAMIN
71-81 · +4 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 3-7 L10
@THU 9:38 PM ETLAA HOME PARK
58-94 · +5 AL WEST · L1 · 4-6 L10
LOS ANGELESLAA
Weather
73°F · 9mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Taj Bradley
RHP · MINPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
3.81
IP
165.1
K/9
10.3
BB/9
3.9
WHIP
1.25
L5 STARTS3.08 ERA · 33.1% K · 11% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
47%
24%
20%
9%
4-Seam FastballCutterSplit-FingerCurveball
Walbert Ureña
RHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
2.88
IP
137.1
K/9
8.6
BB/9
4.4
WHIP
1.24
L5 STARTS3.70 ERA · 24% K · 8.3% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
33%
32%
20%
16%
ChangeupSinker4-Seam FastballSweeper
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS1 edges

MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS

Taj Bradley · Under 17.5 <18 Outs

high-pitch-count grinder in a tough matchup

+115 Fanatics47% book68% +22pp

Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN LAA

Game Markets

MIN @ LAA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

LAA F5

42%

Game Total

Over 8.5

44%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

45%

Run Line

LAA -1.5

30%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

43%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

36%

THE READ

MIN projects to outscore LAA by 0.59 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIN 4.45, LAA 3.87
  • Taj Bradley (MIN) vs Walbert Ureña (LAA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TB

Taj Bradley

MIN SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

80%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

16%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

72%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

27%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

46%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.3 strikeouts
  • 80% to reach 5+ against LAA
WU

Walbert Ureña

LAA SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

72%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

56%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

15%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

82%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

60%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

46%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.0 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 72% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TAJ BRADLEY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.2%OPS-against.670
vs Left-handedK%28.7%OPS-against.680
LAA vs RHP (team)OPS.676K%25.6%

WALBERT UREÑA SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%26.1%OPS-against.547
vs Left-handedK%19.9%OPS-against.658
MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.741K%20.5%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAA BATTERS vs TAJ BRADLEY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs WALBERT UREÑA

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 0·LAA 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
MIN 2·LAA 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
50%MIN
MIN 55 · LAA 55 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-12MIN 4-2
2026-07-11MIN 5-3
2026-07-11LAA 4-3 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN56¢ · 56%
LAA48¢ · 48%
Total 7.5
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5— · —
LAA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→7.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

LAA OFFENSE

.299L15 team wOBA
-17 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT73° · 9mph out to CF
ANGEL STADIUM
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight pitcher tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
73°F
Wind9 mph out to CF
Humidity64%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO