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DETROITDET
72-80 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 7-3 L10
@THU 7:40 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
77-75 · +2 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 3-7 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
68°F · 6mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Framber Valdez
LHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+102
ERA
4.01
IP
163.2
K/9
6.7
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.36
L5 STARTS2.98 ERA · 11.9% K · 7.9% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
46%
28%
20%
SinkerCurveballChangeupSlider
Erick Fedde
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
3.97
IP
133.2
K/9
6.1
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.34
L5 STARTS1.55 ERA · 15.1% K · 8.6% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
28%
19%
14%
SweeperSinkerCutterChangeup
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

DET CWS

Game Markets

DET @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

39%

Game Total

Over 8.5

61%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

62%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

29%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

57%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

46%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore CWS by 0.99 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: DET 5.59, CWS 4.60
  • Framber Valdez (DET) vs Erick Fedde (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
FV

Framber Valdez

DET SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

95%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

35%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

55%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 23% to reach 5+ against CWS
EF

Erick Fedde

CWS SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

85%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

17%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

72%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

60%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.8 strikeouts
  • 15% to reach 5+ against DET

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

FRAMBER VALDEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.7%OPS-against.712
vs Left-handedK%24.4%OPS-against.702
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.713K%23.9%

ERICK FEDDE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%16.8%OPS-against.812
vs Left-handedK%15.2%OPS-against.701
DET vs LHP (team)OPS.692K%23.2%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs FRAMBER VALDEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

DET BATTERS vs ERICK FEDDE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
DET 0·CWS 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
DET 3·CWS 6
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%DET
DET 154 · CWS 143 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-16CWS 7-5
2026-08-15CWS 4-3 · One-run game
2026-08-14CWS 9-5
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
DET47¢ · 47%
CWS57¢ · 57%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
DET -1.5— · —
CWS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
— LINEUP FORM · L15

DET OFFENSE

.326L15 team wOBA
+10 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

CWS OFFENSE

.292L15 team wOBA
-24 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT68° · 6mph out to RF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
68°F
Wind6 mph out to RF
Humidity97%
Rain6%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO