ATH
61-92 · +4 AL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@2026-09-17CLE HOME PARK
78-75 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W2 · 6-4 L10
CLEVELANDCLE
Weather
72°F · 5mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 72%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ATH CLE

Game Markets

ATH @ CLE · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

72%

1st 5 Innings

CLE F5

65%

Game Total

Over 8.5

40%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

45%

Run Line

CLE -1.5

54%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

22%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

49%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore ATH by 2.00 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: ATH 2.90, CLE 4.90
  • Mason Barnett (ATH) vs Daniel Espino (CLE)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
MB

Mason Barnett

ATH SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

28%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

36%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 30% to reach 5+ against CLE
DE

Daniel Espino

CLE SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

99%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

96%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

92%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

84%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

74%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

72%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

36%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

23%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 10.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 10.2 strikeouts
  • 99% to reach 5+ against ATH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CLE vs LHP (team)OPS.661K%21.7%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ATH vs RHP (team)OPS.717K%21.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CLE BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ATH BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ATH 0·CLE 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
ATH 1·CLE 4
5 played · 14 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
95%CLE
ATH 4 · CLE 70 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-05-03ATH 7-1 · Blowout
2026-05-02CLE 14-6 · Blowout
2026-05-02CLE 8-5
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

ATH OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-13 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

CLE OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-14 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT72° · 5mph out to RF
PROGRESSIVE FIELD
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Pitcher-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
72°F
Wind5 mph out to RF
Humidity95%
Rain2%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

GUARDIANS 72%

Mean score sim 2.94.9 · projected total 7.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read