MINNESOTAMIN
71-81 · +4 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 3-7 L10
@2026-09-16LAA HOME PARK
58-93 · +5 AL WEST · W2 · 5-5 L10
LOS ANGELESLAA
Weather
80°F · 9mph out to CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTwins 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIN LAA

Game Markets

MIN @ LAA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIN to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

LAA F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

49%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

48%

Run Line

LAA -1.5

30%

Team Total

MIN Over 4.5

47%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

38%

THE READ

MIN projects to outscore LAA by 0.67 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIN 4.73, LAA 4.06
  • Taj Bradley (MIN) vs Walbert Ureña (LAA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TB

Taj Bradley

MIN SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

75%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

58%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

40%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

13%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

62%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

19%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.0 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 75% to reach 5+ against LAA
WU

Walbert Ureña

LAA SP · vs. MIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

71%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

55%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

15%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

82%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

60%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

63%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

50%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 6.0 Ks.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 71% to reach 5+ against MIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAA vs LHP (team)OPS.690K%24.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIN vs RHP (team)OPS.741K%20.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

LAA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIN BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIN 0·LAA 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
MIN 2·LAA 1
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
50%MIN
MIN 55 · LAA 55 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-07-12MIN 4-2
2026-07-11MIN 5-3
2026-07-11LAA 4-3 · One-run game
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIN58¢ · 58%
LAA47¢ · 47%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under55¢ · 55%
Run line ±1.5
MIN -1.5 ·
LAA +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT88.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

MIN OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

LAA OFFENSE

.297L15 team wOBA
-19 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT80° · 9mph out to CF
ANGEL STADIUM
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight pitcher tilt.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
80°F
Wind9 mph out to CF
Humidity53%
Rain0%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

TWINS 54%

Mean score sim 4.74.1 · projected total 8.8 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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