Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Blake Snell · Over 7.5 8+ Ks
K-monster arsenal
Andrew Abbott · Over 3.5 4+ Ks
strikeout machine on the bump
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
LAD @ CIN · full-game reads
Moneyline
LAD to win
68%
1st 5 Innings
CIN F5
24%
Game Total
Over 8.5
53%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
53%
Run Line
CIN -1.5
19%
Team Total
LAD Over 4.5
59%
Team Total
CIN Over 4.5
31%
THE READ
LAD projects to outscore CIN by 2.25 runs across 5,000 trials.
LAD SP · vs. CIN
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
96%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
90%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
79%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
63%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
46%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
98%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
56%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
43%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
30%
THE READ
Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.
CIN SP · vs. LAD
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
18%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
8%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
3%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
1%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
34%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
11%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
54%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
42%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits LHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
League’s hottest HR park.
Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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