DETROITDET
72-80 · +3 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 7-3 L10
@2026-09-16CWS HOME PARK
77-75 · +2 AL CENTRAL · L2 · 3-7 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
68°F · 10mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

DET CWS

Game Markets

DET @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

39%

Game Total

Over 8.5

62%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

63%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

28%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

58%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

46%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore CWS by 1.02 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: DET 5.64, CWS 4.62
  • Framber Valdez (DET) vs Erick Fedde (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
FV

Framber Valdez

DET SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

94%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

33%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 22% to reach 5+ against CWS
EF

Erick Fedde

CWS SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

90%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

25%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

75%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

61%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.9 strikeouts
  • 16% to reach 5+ against DET

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.743K%24.8%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

DET vs RHP (team)OPS.725K%22.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

DET BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
DET 0·CWS 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
DET 3·CWS 6
9 played · 10 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%DET
DET 154 · CWS 143 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-16CWS 7-5
2026-08-15CWS 4-3 · One-run game
2026-08-14CWS 9-5
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
DET48¢ · 48%
CWS57¢ · 57%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
DET -1.5 ·
CWS +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

DET OFFENSE

.326L15 team wOBA
+10 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

CWS OFFENSE

.292L15 team wOBA
-24 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT68° · 10mph in from CF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
68°F
Wind10 mph in from CF
Humidity94%
Rain21%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

TIGERS 57%

Mean score sim 5.64.6 · projected total 10.3 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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