BETFLYAISIGN IN
CHICAGOCWS
77-74 · +1 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 3-7 L10
@WED 1:10 PM ETCLE HOME PARK
77-75 · +2 AL CENTRAL · W1 · 5-5 L10
CLEVELANDCLE
Weather
79°F · 7mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Anthony Kay
LHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
4.53
IP
145.0
K/9
7.3
BB/9
3.2
WHIP
1.37
L5 STARTS7.60 ERA · 18% K · 6.3% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
24%
23%
18%
17%
14%
4-Seam FastballSweeperSinkerCutterChangeupSlider
Parker Messick
LHP · CLEPROBABLE
STUFF+96
ERA
2.51
IP
172.1
K/9
9.3
BB/9
2.5
WHIP
1.03
L5 STARTS2.15 ERA · 30% K · 5.8% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
34%
24%
17%
11%
4-Seam FastballChangeupSinkerCurveballCutterSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETGuardians 63%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CWS CLE

Game Markets

CWS @ CLE · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

CLE to win

63%

1st 5 Innings

CLE F5

52%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

49%

Run Line

CLE -1.5

46%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

32%

Team Total

CLE Over 4.5

47%

THE READ

CLE projects to outscore CWS by 1.11 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CWS 3.65, CLE 4.76
  • Anthony Kay (CWS) vs Parker Messick (CLE)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
AK

Anthony Kay

CWS SP · vs. CLE

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

23%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

21%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

48%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

34%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.3 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.3 strikeouts
  • 23% to reach 5+ against CLE
PM

Parker Messick

CLE SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

73%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

47%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

32%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 57% to reach 5+ against CWS

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ANTHONY KAY SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CLE hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%14.8%OPS-against.862
vs Left-handedK%27.3%OPS-against.525
CLE vs LHP (team)OPS.661K%21.9%

PARKER MESSICK SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%26.9%OPS-against.568
vs Left-handedK%23.5%OPS-against.712
CWS vs LHP (team)OPS.742K%24.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CLE BATTERS vs ANTHONY KAY

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CWS BATTERS vs PARKER MESSICK

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CWS 1·CLE 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
CWS 8·CLE 6
14 played · 5 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
57%CLE
CWS 143 · CLE 188 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-15CLE 7-6 · One-run game
2026-09-14CWS 7-3
2026-08-09CWS 5-3
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CWS41¢ · 41%
CLE64¢ · 64%
Total 7.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
CWS -1.5— · —
CLE +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT9→8.5→9→11.5→7.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CWS OFFENSE

.293L15 team wOBA
-23 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CLE OFFENSE

.309L15 team wOBA
-7 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT79° · 7mph out to RF
PROGRESSIVE FIELD
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Pitcher-friendly.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
79°F
Wind7 mph out to RF
Humidity82%
Rain38%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO