BETFLYAISIGN IN
ATH
61-90 · +4 AL WEST · L1 · 6-4 L10
@WED 6:40 PM ETTB HOME PARK
91-59 · +1 AL EAST · W4 · 8-2 L10
TAMPA BAYTB
Weather
84°F · 11mph in from CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Brady Basso
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
3.86
IP
37.1
K/9
6.8
BB/9
1.7
WHIP
1.39
L5 STARTS2.43 ERA · 18.8% K · 8.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
41%
Cutter
Nick Martinez
RHP · TBPROBABLE
STUFF+99
ERA
2.92
IP
166.1
K/9
5.3
BB/9
1.3
WHIP
1.07
L5 STARTS3.94 ERA · 18% K · 3.6% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
31%
28%
20%
11%
SinkerChangeupCutter4-Seam FastballCurveballSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETATH 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ATH TB

Game Markets

ATH @ TB · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

ATH to win

51%

1st 5 Innings

TB F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

44%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

48%

Run Line

TB -1.5

32%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

41%

Team Total

TB Over 4.5

38%

THE READ

ATH projects to outscore TB by 0.26 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: ATH 4.25, TB 3.99
  • Brady Basso (ATH) vs Nick Martinez (TB)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BB

Brady Basso

ATH SP · vs. TB

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

11%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

0%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

41%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

27%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.8 strikeouts
  • 13% to reach 5+ against TB
NM

Nick Martinez

TB SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

96%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

77%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

74%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

63%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 18% to reach 5+ against ATH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRADY BASSO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TB hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%17.0%OPS-against.803
vs Left-handedK%17.7%OPS-against.752
TB vs RHP (team)OPS.758K%18.6%

NICK MARTINEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%13.2%OPS-against.688
vs Left-handedK%15.9%OPS-against.642
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.723K%24.4%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

TB BATTERS vs BRADY BASSO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ATH BATTERS vs NICK MARTINEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ATH 0·TB 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
ATH 0·TB 4
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
95%TB
ATH 3 · TB 59 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-15TB 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-08-12TB 8-4
2026-08-12TB 12-4 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

ATH OFFENSE

.298L15 team wOBA
-18 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

TB OFFENSE

.317L15 team wOBA
+1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT84° · 11mph in from CF
STEINBRENNER FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Interim park post-Tropicana damage.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
84°F
Wind11 mph in from CF
Humidity68%
Rain1%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO