BETFLYAISIGN IN
SAN FRANCISCOSF
62-89 · +4 NL WEST · L4 · 4-6 L10
@TUE 7:45 PM ETSTL HOME PARK
75-76 · +4 NL CENTRAL · W2 · 5-5 L10
ST. LOUISSTL
Weather
94°F · 7mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Blade Tidwell
RHP · SFPROBABLE
STUFF+113
ERA
4.82
IP
46.2
K/9
7.3
BB/9
3.9
WHIP
1.29
L5 STARTS6.95 ERA · 17.9% K · 14.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
42%
41%
4-Seam FastballSweeper
Andre Pallante
RHP · STLPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.45
IP
146.0
K/9
6.3
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.23
L5 STARTS2.32 ERA · 15.1% K · 10.4% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
30%
19%
18%
4-Seam FastballSliderSinkerCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETCardinals 55%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SF STL

Game Markets

SF @ STL · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

STL to win

55%

1st 5 Innings

STL F5

47%

Game Total

Over 8.5

50%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

STL -1.5

38%

Team Total

SF Over 4.5

41%

Team Total

STL Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 8.97 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: SF 4.38, STL 4.59
  • Blade Tidwell (SF) vs Andre Pallante (STL)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BT

Blade Tidwell

SF SP · vs. STL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

75%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

14%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

46%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 31% to reach 5+ against STL
AP

Andre Pallante

STL SP · vs. SF

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

47%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

2%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

52%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

38%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.8 strikeouts
  • 14% to reach 5+ against SF

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BLADE TIDWELL SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how STL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%27.9%OPS-against.471
vs Left-handedK%12.6%OPS-against.898
STL vs RHP (team)OPS.697K%21.4%

ANDRE PALLANTE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%17.5%OPS-against.623
vs Left-handedK%16.5%OPS-against.696
SF vs RHP (team)OPS.735K%20.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

STL BATTERS vs BLADE TIDWELL

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SF BATTERS vs ANDRE PALLANTE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SF 0·STL 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
SF 3·STL 1
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%STL
SF 55 · STL 60 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-14STL 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-09-09SF 7-6 · One-run game
2026-09-09SF 2-1 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
SF42¢ · 42%
STL62¢ · 62%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
SF -1.5— · —
STL +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→7.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

SF OFFENSE

.318L15 team wOBA
+2 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

STL OFFENSE

.311L15 team wOBA
-5 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT94° · 7mph out to LF
BUSCH STADIUM
96HR
HR factor0.96 · neutral
Runs factor0.98 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
94°F
Wind7 mph out to LF
Humidity39%
Rain9%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO