BETFLYAISIGN IN
PHILADELPHIAPHI
83-67 · +2 NL EAST · W1 · 4-6 L10
@TUE 6:45 PM ETWSH HOME PARK
70-81 · +4 NL EAST · W3 · 3-7 L10
WASHINGTONWSH
Weather
78°F · 6mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
2-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Cristopher Sánchez
LHP · PHIPROBABLE
STUFF+118
ERA
2.79
IP
187.1
K/9
10.1
BB/9
2.0
WHIP
1.21
L5 STARTS4.04 ERA · 22% K · 5.3% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
42%
39%
19%
SinkerChangeupSlider
Jackson Kent
LHP · WSHPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
6.59
IP
27.1
K/9
7.6
BB/9
6.6
WHIP
1.83
L5 STARTS6.83 ERA · 15.5% K · 13.6% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETPhillies 67%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PHI WSH

Game Markets

PHI @ WSH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

PHI to win

67%

1st 5 Innings

WSH F5

26%

Game Total

Over 8.5

44%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

WSH -1.5

19%

Team Total

PHI Over 4.5

53%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

26%

THE READ

PHI projects to outscore WSH by 2.02 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: PHI 5.19, WSH 3.17
  • Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) vs Jackson Kent (WSH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CS

Cristopher Sánchez

PHI SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

96%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

91%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

80%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

50%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

98%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

63%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.6 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.6 strikeouts
  • 96% to reach 5+ against WSH
JK

Jackson Kent

WSH SP · vs. PHI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

31%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

34%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

12%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

42%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.6 strikeouts
  • 31% to reach 5+ against PHI

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%24.5%OPS-against.754
vs Left-handedK%35.6%OPS-against.373
WSH vs LHP (team)OPS.776K%24.2%

JACKSON KENT SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PHI hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%15.8%OPS-against.779
vs Left-handedK%25.0%OPS-against.744
PHI vs LHP (team)OPS.711K%22.1%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

WSH BATTERS vs CRISTOPHER SÁNCHEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PHI BATTERS vs JACKSON KENT

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PHI 0·WSH 0
2-game set · gm 1 of 2
2026 SEASON
PHI 9·WSH 4
13 played · 6 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%PHI
PHI 156 · WSH 144 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-06PHI 7-3
2026-08-05WSH 10-4 · Blowout
2026-08-04PHI 5-0
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PHI68¢ · 68%
WSH36¢ · 36%
Total 8
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
PHI -1.5— · —
WSH +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5→8last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

PHI OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

WSH OFFENSE

.299L15 team wOBA
-17 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT78° · 6mph out to LF
NATIONALS PARK
102HR
HR factor1.02 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
78°F
Wind6 mph out to LF
Humidity37%
Rain0%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO