Not yet announced by the team.
Not yet announced by the team.
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Janson Junk · Over 2.5 3+ Ks
high-K profile + cooperative opp
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
MIA @ ARI · full-game reads
Moneyline
ARI to win
59%
1st 5 Innings
ARI F5
49%
Game Total
Over 8.5
51%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
54%
Run Line
ARI -1.5
42%
Team Total
MIA Over 4.5
40%
Team Total
ARI Over 4.5
50%
THE READ
ARI projects to outscore MIA by 0.76 runs across 5,000 trials.
MIA SP · vs. ARI
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
7%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
20%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
2%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
52%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
38%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
ARI SP · vs. MIA
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
31%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
18%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
8%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
42%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
16%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
44%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
31%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits RHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Slight offensive tilt.
Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Mean score sim 4.1–4.9 · projected total 9.0 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
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