BETFLYAISIGN IN
DETROITDET
71-79 · +3 AL CENTRAL · W5 · 7-3 L10
@TUE 7:07 PM ETTOR HOME PARK
75-76 · +4 AL EAST · L1 · 5-5 L10
TORONTOTOR
Weather
72°F · 6mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Drew Anderson
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
3.80
IP
97.0
K/9
9.7
BB/9
3.7
WHIP
1.31
L5 STARTS3.67 ERA · 21.3% K · 12% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
40%
31%
22%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSlider
Braydon Fisher
RHP · TORPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
3.22
IP
72.2
K/9
8.9
BB/9
4.7
WHIP
1.22
L5 STARTS2.81 ERA · 35.7% K · 14.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
50%
29%
17%
SliderCurveball4-Seam Fastball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 50%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

DET TOR

Game Markets

DET @ TOR · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

50%

1st 5 Innings

TOR F5

41%

Game Total

Over 8.5

48%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

48%

Run Line

TOR -1.5

32%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

44%

Team Total

TOR Over 4.5

40%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore TOR by 0.37 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: DET 4.55, TOR 4.19
  • Drew Anderson (DET) vs Braydon Fisher (TOR)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
DA

Drew Anderson

DET SP · vs. TOR

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

88%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

76%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

43%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

27%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

89%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

66%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

51%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 7.1 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 7.1 strikeouts
  • 88% to reach 5+ against TOR
BF

Braydon Fisher

TOR SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

82%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

68%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

51%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

35%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

22%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

96%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

75%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

65%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

51%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.7 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.7 strikeouts
  • 82% to reach 5+ against DET

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

DREW ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TOR hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%28.9%OPS-against.792
vs Left-handedK%22.3%OPS-against.677
TOR vs RHP (team)OPS.715K%18.8%

BRAYDON FISHER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%26.1%OPS-against.559
vs Left-handedK%22.9%OPS-against.750
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.725K%22.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

TOR BATTERS vs DREW ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

DET BATTERS vs BRAYDON FISHER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
DET 1·TOR 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
DET 5·TOR 3
8 played · 11 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%TOR
DET 85 · TOR 91 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-14DET 6-5 · One-run game
2026-05-17TOR 4-1
2026-05-16TOR 2-1 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
DET47¢ · 47%
TOR57¢ · 57%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under53¢ · 53%
Run line ±1.5
DET -1.5— · —
TOR +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7.5→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

DET OFFENSE

.305L15 team wOBA
-11 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

TOR OFFENSE

.340L15 team wOBA
+24 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6
— ENVIRONMENT72° · 6mph out to CF
ROGERS CENTRE
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
72°F
Wind6 mph out to CF
Humidity58%
Rain5%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO