PHILADELPHIAPHI
83-67 · +2 NL EAST · W1 · 4-6 L10
@2026-09-14WSH HOME PARK
70-81 · +4 NL EAST · W3 · 3-7 L10
WASHINGTONWSH
Weather
74°F · 7mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
2-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETPhillies 67%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PHI WSH

Game Markets

PHI @ WSH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

PHI to win

67%

1st 5 Innings

WSH F5

28%

Game Total

Over 8.5

45%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

WSH -1.5

19%

Team Total

PHI Over 4.5

53%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

27%

THE READ

PHI projects to outscore WSH by 2.00 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: PHI 5.18, WSH 3.18
  • Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) vs Jackson Kent (WSH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CS

Cristopher Sánchez

PHI SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

96%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

91%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

67%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

51%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

99%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

47%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.6 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.6 strikeouts
  • 96% to reach 5+ against WSH
JK

Jackson Kent

WSH SP · vs. PHI

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

27%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

29%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.4 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.4 strikeouts
  • 26% to reach 5+ against PHI

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

WSH vs LHP (team)OPS.776K%24.2%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PHI hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

PHI vs RHP (team)OPS.712K%22.0%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

WSH BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PHI BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PHI 0·WSH 0
2-game set · gm 1 of 2
2026 SEASON
PHI 9·WSH 4
13 played · 6 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%PHI
PHI 156 · WSH 144 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-06PHI 7-3
2026-08-05WSH 10-4 · Blowout
2026-08-04PHI 5-0
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PHI67¢ · 67%
WSH37¢ · 37%
Total 8
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
PHI -1.5 ·
WSH +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

PHI OFFENSE

.291L15 team wOBA
-25 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

WSH OFFENSE

.299L15 team wOBA
-17 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT74° · 7mph in from CF
NATIONALS PARK
102HR
HR factor1.02 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
74°F
Wind7 mph in from CF
Humidity41%
Rain0%

Light wind in from CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

PHILLIES 67%

Mean score sim 5.23.2 · projected total 8.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

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