MILWAUKEEMIL
93-57 · +1 NL CENTRAL · L1 · 6-4 L10
@2026-09-14PIT HOME PARK
75-75 · +3 NL CENTRAL · W1 · 7-3 L10
PITTSBURGHPIT
Weather
68°F · 1mph in from CF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETBrewers 67%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

MIL PIT

Game Markets

MIL @ PIT · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

MIL to win

67%

1st 5 Innings

PIT F5

25%

Game Total

Over 8.5

31%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

30%

Run Line

PIT -1.5

17%

Team Total

MIL Over 4.5

42%

Team Total

PIT Over 4.5

18%

THE READ

MIL projects to outscore PIT by 1.73 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: MIL 4.36, PIT 2.63
  • Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) vs Lake Bachar (PIT)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JM

Jacob Misiorowski

MIL SP · vs. PIT

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

96%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

90%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

79%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

65%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

49%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

66%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

23%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

22%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

11%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 8.5 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 8.5 strikeouts
  • 96% to reach 5+ against PIT
LB

Lake Bachar

PIT SP · vs. MIL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

28%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

7%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

37%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

9%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

36%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

24%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.3 strikeouts
  • 61% to reach 5+ against MIL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PIT hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

PIT vs LHP (team)OPS.685K%25.6%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIL hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

MIL vs RHP (team)OPS.764K%21.7%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

PIT BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

MIL BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
MIL 0·PIT 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
MIL 4·PIT 7
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
58%MIL
MIL 164 · PIT 118 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-06MIL 5-2
2026-08-05MIL 4-2
2026-08-04MIL 4-2
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
MIL71¢ · 71%
PIT33¢ · 33%
Total 7.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
MIL -1.5 ·
PIT +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
LINEUP FORM · L15

MIL OFFENSE

.357L15 team wOBA
+41 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

PIT OFFENSE

.306L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT68° · 1mph in from CF
PNC PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Pitcher-friendly, deep RCF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
68°F
Wind1 mph in from CF
Humidity57%
Rain0%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

BREWERS 67%

Mean score sim 4.42.6 · projected total 7.0 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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