Not yet announced by the team.
Not yet announced by the team.
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Sandy Alcantara · Over 3.5 4+ Ks
strikeout machine on the bump
Sandy Alcantara · Over 17.5 18+ Outs
starter going deep into a manageable lineup
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
MIA @ ARI · full-game reads
Moneyline
ARI to win
61%
1st 5 Innings
ARI F5
50%
Game Total
Over 8.5
54%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
56%
Run Line
ARI -1.5
44%
Team Total
MIA Over 4.5
40%
Team Total
ARI Over 4.5
53%
THE READ
ARI projects to outscore MIA by 0.91 runs across 5,000 trials.
MIA SP · vs. ARI
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
22%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
9%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
1%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
75%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
31%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
72%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
60%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.2 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
ARI SP · vs. MIA
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
29%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
15%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
14%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
2%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
28%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
17%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ARI hits LHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits RHP
Pitcher splits unavailable.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Slight offensive tilt.
Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Mean score sim 4.2–5.1 · projected total 9.3 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
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