Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
ATL @ CHC · full-game reads
Moneyline
ATL to win
54%
1st 5 Innings
CHC F5
41%
Game Total
Over 8.5
60%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
62%
Run Line
CHC -1.5
31%
Team Total
ATL Over 4.5
54%
Team Total
CHC Over 4.5
47%
THE READ
ATL projects to outscore CHC by 0.56 runs across 5,000 trials.
ATL SP · vs. CHC
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
48%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
28%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
6%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
2%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
97%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
47%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
68%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
54%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.
CHC SP · vs. ATL
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
28%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
5%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
2%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
1%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
43%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
8%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
55%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
41%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 3.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CHC hits LHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATL hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Wind-dependent — check gametime.
Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.
Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.
Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.
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