ATH
61-89 · +4 AL WEST · W1 · 7-3 L10
@2026-09-14TB HOME PARK
90-59 · +1 AL EAST · W3 · 7-3 L10
TAMPA BAYTB
Weather
83°F · 3mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETRays 56%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

ATH TB

Game Markets

ATH @ TB · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

TB to win

56%

1st 5 Innings

TB F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

34%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

39%

Run Line

TB -1.5

36%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

31%

Team Total

TB Over 4.5

36%

THE READ

TB projects to outscore ATH by 0.41 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: ATH 3.47, TB 3.88
  • Jack Perkins (ATH) vs Griffin Jax (TB)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
JP

Jack Perkins

ATH SP · vs. TB

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

75%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

58%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

39%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

13%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

69%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

24%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

45%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

31%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.0 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.0 strikeouts
  • 75% to reach 5+ against TB
GJ

Griffin Jax

TB SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

81%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

65%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

46%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

16%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

86%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

18%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

39%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

25%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.4 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.4 strikeouts
  • 81% to reach 5+ against ATH

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TB hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

TB vs LHP (team)OPS.684K%17.9%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

ATH vs RHP (team)OPS.721K%21.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

TB BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

ATH BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
ATH 0·TB 0
3-game set · gm 1 of 3
2026 SEASON
ATH 0·TB 3
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
95%TB
ATH 3 · TB 58 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-08-12TB 8-4
2026-08-12TB 12-4 · Blowout
2026-08-11TB 10-6 · Slugfest
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

ATH OFFENSE

.313L15 team wOBA
-4 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

TB OFFENSE

.326L15 team wOBA
+10 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG
ENVIRONMENT83° · 3mph out to RF
STEINBRENNER FIELD
100HR
HR factor1.00 · neutral
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Interim park post-Tropicana damage.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
83°F
Wind3 mph out to RF
Humidity85%
Rain28%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

RAYS 56%

Mean score sim 3.53.9 · projected total 7.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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