BETFLYAISIGN IN
SEATTLESEA
70-79 · +3 AL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
@SUN 4:05 PM ETATH HOME PARK
60-89 · +4 AL WEST · L1 · 7-3 L10
ATH
Weather
—
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Bryce Miller
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+110
ERA
4.22
IP
102.1
K/9
8.9
BB/9
2.5
WHIP
1.14
L5 STARTS8.71 ERA · 20.2% K · 12.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
44%
24%
12%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerSliderSweeper
Jacob Lopez
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+93
ERA
4.78
IP
111.0
K/9
8.4
BB/9
4.3
WHIP
1.45
L5 STARTS3.10 ERA · 24.2% K · 7.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
34%
31%
20%
10%
4-Seam FastballSliderCutterChangeupSinker
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 54%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA ATH

Game Markets

SEA @ ATH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

54%

1st 5 Innings

ATH F5

37%

Game Total

Over 8.5

43%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

ATH -1.5

29%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

42%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

34%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore ATH by 0.64 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SEA 4.35, ATH 3.71
  • Bryce Miller (SEA) vs Jacob Lopez (ATH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BM

Bryce Miller

SEA SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

43%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

25%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

33%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

4%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

40%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

26%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 43% to reach 5+ against ATH
JL

Jacob Lopez

ATH SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

24%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

51%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

47%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

33%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 44% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRYCE MILLER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%27.6%OPS-against.603
vs Left-handedK%21.8%OPS-against.784
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.724K%24.4%

JACOB LOPEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%20.4%OPS-against.823
vs Left-handedK%23.3%OPS-against.594
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.716K%22.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

ATH BATTERS vs BRYCE MILLER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs JACOB LOPEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 1·ATH 1
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 7·ATH 6
13 played · 6 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
93%SEA
SEA 181 · ATH 14 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-13SEA 19-1 · Blowout
2026-09-12ATH 6-5 · One-run game
2026-09-06SEA 2-0 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.308L15 team wOBA
-8 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

ATH OFFENSE

.300L15 team wOBA
-16 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT

Park factors unavailable.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO