LOS ANGELESLAA
56-92 · +5 AL WEST · L2 · 3-7 L10
@SUN 1:35 PM ETWSH HOME PARK
69-81 · +5 NL EAST · W2 · 3-7 L10
WASHINGTONWSH
Weather
82°F · 3mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Grayson Rodriguez
RHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+104
ERA
6.28
IP
81.2
K/9
8.3
BB/9
4.1
WHIP
1.57
L5 STARTS4.47 ERA · 21.6% K · 9.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
53%
20%
14%
12%
4-Seam FastballChangeupCurveballSlider
Jake Irvin
RHP · WSHPROBABLE
STUFF+99
ERA
5.52
IP
91.1
K/9
8.9
BB/9
4.1
WHIP
1.42
L5 STARTS4.98 ERA · 20% K · 11.7% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
28%
26%
24%
11%
4-Seam FastballCurveballSinkerCutterSweeper
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETNationals 52%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAA WSH

Game Markets

LAA @ WSH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

WSH to win

52%

1st 5 Innings

WSH F5

45%

Game Total

Over 8.5

61%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

62%

Run Line

WSH -1.5

37%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

51%

Team Total

WSH Over 4.5

51%

THE READ

The sim splits this one — 10.21 total runs with under a quarter-run between the sides.

  • Projected runs: LAA 5.08, WSH 5.13
  • Grayson Rodriguez (LAA) vs Jake Irvin (WSH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GR

Grayson Rodriguez

LAA SP · vs. WSH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

5%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

72%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

40%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

65%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

52%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.8 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.8 strikeouts
  • 53% to reach 5+ against WSH
JI

Jake Irvin

WSH SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

26%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

2%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

48%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

12%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

53%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

38%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.3 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.3 strikeouts
  • 44% to reach 5+ against LAA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how WSH hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%22.5%OPS-against.729
vs Left-handedK%18.7%OPS-against.948
WSH vs RHP (team)OPS.737K%20.9%

JAKE IRVIN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%22.4%OPS-against.839
vs Left-handedK%22.0%OPS-against.721
LAA vs RHP (team)OPS.676K%25.5%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

WSH BATTERS vs GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAA BATTERS vs JAKE IRVIN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAA 0·WSH 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
LAA 0·WSH 2
2 played · 17 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
54%LAA
LAA 13 · WSH 11 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-12WSH 6-5 · One-run game
2026-09-11WSH 4-3 · One-run game
2025-06-29WSH 7-4
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAA50¢ · 50%
WSH55¢ · 55%
Total 9
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
LAA -1.5 ·
WSH +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT89.57.5899.599.59last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

LAA OFFENSE

.278L15 team wOBA
-38 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

WSH OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-13 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
ENVIRONMENT82° · 3mph out to RF
NATIONALS PARK
102HR
HR factor1.02 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Neutral.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
82°F
Wind3 mph out to RF
Humidity75%
Rain6%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO