BETFLYAISIGN IN
COLORADOCOL
55-93 · +5 NL WEST · L6 · 3-7 L10
@SUN 12:10 PM ETDET HOME PARK
69-79 · +4 AL CENTRAL · W3 · 6-4 L10
DETROITDET
Weather
79°F · 10mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Gabriel Hughes
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
5.81
IP
57.1
K/9
7.5
BB/9
3.3
WHIP
1.38
L5 STARTS6.21 ERA · 15.9% K · 8.4% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Jackson Jobe
RHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
4.45
IP
28.1
K/9
8.3
BB/9
3.8
WHIP
1.41
L5 STARTS5.63 ERA · 20.2% K · 10.1% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 58%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL DET

Game Markets

COL @ DET · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

58%

1st 5 Innings

DET F5

46%

Game Total

Over 8.5

55%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

58%

Run Line

DET -1.5

40%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

43%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

51%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore COL by 0.51 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 4.51, DET 5.02
  • Gabriel Hughes (COL) vs Jackson Jobe (DET)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GH

Gabriel Hughes

COL SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

33%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

1%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

56%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.0 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.0 strikeouts
  • 18% to reach 5+ against DET
JJ

Jackson Jobe

DET SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

47%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

4%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

51%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

36%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.1 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.1 strikeouts
  • 19% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

GABRIEL HUGHES SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%25.6%OPS-against.813
vs Left-handedK%15.9%OPS-against.685
DET vs RHP (team)OPS.725K%22.8%

JACKSON JOBE SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.4%OPS-against.876
vs Left-handedK%19.0%OPS-against.793
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.753K%22.1%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

DET BATTERS vs GABRIEL HUGHES

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs JACKSON JOBE

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·DET 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 1·DET 3
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
67%DET
COL 10 · DET 20 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-12DET 11-7 · Slugfest
2026-09-11DET 6-2
2026-03-24DET 11-8 · Slugfest
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL43¢ · 43%
DET61¢ · 61%
Total 9
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5— · —
DET +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→16.5→8.5→16.5→8.5→9last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.311L15 team wOBA
-5 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

DET OFFENSE

.295L15 team wOBA
-21 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT79° · 10mph out to LF
COMERICA PARK
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.97 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
79°F
Wind10 mph out to LF
Humidity58%
Rain2%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO