SEATTLESEA
69-79 · +3 AL WEST · L1 · 5-5 L10
@SAT 9:40 PM ETATH HOME PARK
60-88 · +4 AL WEST · W2 · 7-3 L10
ATH
Weather
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Bryan Woo
RHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
4.03
IP
156.1
K/9
9.1
BB/9
1.9
WHIP
1.06
L5 STARTS2.79 ERA · 28.2% K · 5.5% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
48%
18%
15%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerSliderSweeperChangeup
Gage Jump
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+109
ERA
5.12
IP
96.2
K/9
9.9
BB/9
4.2
WHIP
1.49
L5 STARTS7.34 ERA · 20% K · 10.9% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
49%
25%
12%
4-Seam FastballSliderCurveballSweeper
MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

SEA ATH

Game Markets

SEA @ ATH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

ATH F5

39%

Game Total

Over 8.5

40%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

43%

Run Line

ATH -1.5

30%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

41%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

32%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore ATH by 0.56 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: SEA 4.22, ATH 3.65
  • Bryan Woo (SEA) vs Gage Jump (ATH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
BW

Bryan Woo

SEA SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

63%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

9%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

77%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

49%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

57%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

43%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.4 strikeouts
  • 63% to reach 5+ against ATH
GJ

Gage Jump

ATH SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

54%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

20%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

37%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

7%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

37%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

24%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.8 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.8 strikeouts
  • 54% to reach 5+ against SEA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

BRYAN WOO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%28.2%OPS-against.556
vs Left-handedK%22.6%OPS-against.704
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.724K%24.5%

GAGE JUMP SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%26.1%OPS-against.773
vs Left-handedK%21.6%OPS-against.708
SEA vs RHP (team)OPS.709K%22.9%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

ATH BATTERS vs BRYAN WOO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SEA BATTERS vs GAGE JUMP

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
SEA 0·ATH 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
SEA 6·ATH 6
12 played · 7 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
93%SEA
SEA 180 · ATH 14 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-12ATH 6-5 · One-run game
2026-09-06SEA 2-0 · Pitchers duel
2026-09-06ATH 6-2
MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

LINEUP FORM · L15

SEA OFFENSE

.276L15 team wOBA
-40 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

ATH OFFENSE

.315L15 team wOBA
-1 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
ENVIRONMENT

Park factors unavailable.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO