BETFLYAISIGN IN
COLORADOCOL
55-92 · +5 NL WEST · L5 · 3-7 L10
@SAT 1:10 PM ETDET HOME PARK
68-79 · +4 AL CENTRAL · W2 · 5-5 L10
DETROITDET
Weather
81°F · 9mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-1 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Tanner Gordon
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+86
ERA
5.40
IP
93.1
K/9
7.3
BB/9
1.6
WHIP
1.43
L5 STARTS4.27 ERA · 16.5% K · 3.7% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
37%
27%
21%
9%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupCurveball
Andrew Sears
LHP · DETPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
4.38
IP
12.1
K/9
5.8
BB/9
2.2
WHIP
1.22
L5 STARTS4.74 ERA · 15.7% K · 5.9% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETTigers 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL DET

Game Markets

COL @ DET · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

DET to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

DET F5

48%

Game Total

Over 8.5

56%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

DET -1.5

41%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

44%

Team Total

DET Over 4.5

52%

THE READ

DET projects to outscore COL by 0.57 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 4.51, DET 5.08
  • Tanner Gordon (COL) vs Andrew Sears (DET)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
TG

Tanner Gordon

COL SP · vs. DET

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

8%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

81%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

46%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

73%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

60%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.8 strikeouts
  • 33% to reach 5+ against DET
AS

Andrew Sears

DET SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

9%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

98%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

82%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

76%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

63%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.9 strikeouts
  • 34% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

TANNER GORDON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how DET hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%18.7%OPS-against.836
vs Left-handedK%18.7%OPS-against.882
DET vs LHP (team)OPS.690K%23.3%

ANDREW SEARS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.2%OPS-against.540
vs Left-handedK%5.6%OPS-against.109
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.753K%22.1%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

DET BATTERS vs TANNER GORDON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs ANDREW SEARS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·DET 1
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 1·DET 2
3 played · 16 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
66%DET
COL 10 · DET 19 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-11DET 6-2
2026-03-24DET 11-8 · Slugfest
2026-03-24COL 6-5 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL42¢ · 42%
DET62¢ · 62%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5— · —
DET +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5→8→6→5.5→8.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.316L15 team wOBA
0 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

DET OFFENSE

.264L15 team wOBA
-52 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT81° · 9mph out to LF
COMERICA PARK
92HR
HR factor0.92 · below avg
Runs factor0.97 · neutral
Doubles factor1.08 · +

Deep LC/RC. Suppresses HR.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
81°F
Wind9 mph out to LF
Humidity66%
Rain2%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO