BETFLYAISIGN IN
COLORADOCOL
55-90 · +5 NL WEST · L3 · 3-7 L10
@THU 7:05 PM ETNYY HOME PARK
83-62 · +2 AL EAST · W2 · 7-3 L10
NEW YORKNYY
Weather
84°F · 6mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Ryan Feltner
RHP · COLPROBABLE
STUFF+92
ERA
5.91
IP
106.2
K/9
6.8
BB/9
4.0
WHIP
1.58
L5 STARTS6.69 ERA · 18.2% K · 12.4% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
26%
15%
13%
11%
8%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupSinkerSweeperCurveball
Max Fried
LHP · NYYPROBABLE
STUFF+106
ERA
2.73
IP
95.2
K/9
8.2
BB/9
2.7
WHIP
0.99
L5 STARTS1.46 ERA · 26.8% K · 7.2% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
22%
22%
17%
14%
14%
10%
CutterSinker4-Seam FastballCurveballChangeupSweeper
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETYankees 70%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

COL NYY

Game Markets

COL @ NYY · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYY to win

70%

1st 5 Innings

NYY F5

62%

Game Total

Over 8.5

60%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

63%

Run Line

NYY -1.5

55%

Team Total

COL Over 4.5

37%

Team Total

NYY Over 4.5

63%

THE READ

NYY projects to outscore COL by 2.12 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: COL 3.99, NYY 6.11
  • Ryan Feltner (COL) vs Max Fried (NYY)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
RF

Ryan Feltner

COL SP · vs. NYY

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

13%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

63%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

7%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

70%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

57%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.5 strikeouts
  • 27% to reach 5+ against NYY
MF

Max Fried

NYY SP · vs. COL

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

57%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

37%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

21%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

11%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

5%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

89%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

54%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

62%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

48%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.9 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.9 strikeouts
  • 57% to reach 5+ against COL

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

RYAN FELTNER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYY hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%16.5%OPS-against.848
vs Left-handedK%17.3%OPS-against.885
NYY vs LHP (team)OPS.736K%24.6%

MAX FRIED SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.3%OPS-against.572
vs Left-handedK%21.6%OPS-against.395
COL vs RHP (team)OPS.755K%22.1%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

NYY BATTERS vs RYAN FELTNER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

COL BATTERS vs MAX FRIED

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
COL 0·NYY 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
COL 0·NYY 2
2 played · 17 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
58%NYY
COL 10 · NYY 14 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-09NYY 6-1
2026-09-08NYY 5-3
2025-05-25NYY 5-4 · One-run game
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
COL27¢ · 27%
NYY77¢ · 77%
Total 8.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
COL -1.5— · —
NYY +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT9.5→9→8.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

COL OFFENSE

.318L15 team wOBA
+2 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD

NYY OFFENSE

.316L15 team wOBA
0 pts vs LG AVG · MIDDLE THIRD
— ENVIRONMENT84° · 6mph out to CF
YANKEE STADIUM
112HR
HR factor1.12 · +
Runs factor1.04 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Short porch — LH HR heaven.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
84°F
Wind6 mph out to CF
Humidity43%
Rain1%

Light wind out to CF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO