TEXASTEX
72-73 · +2 AL WEST · W2 · 6-4 L10
@WED 4:10 PM ETSEA HOME PARK
67-78 · +3 AL WEST · L1 · 3-7 L10
SEATTLESEA
Weather
73°F · 5mph out to RF
Home plate ump
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
PITCHING MATCHUP
Cody Bradford
LHP · TEXPROBABLE
STUFF+
ERA
4.45
IP
30.1
K/9
4.8
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
1.58
L5 STARTS5.34 ERA · 9.6% K · 4.4% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Kade Anderson
LHP · SEAPROBABLE
STUFF+
ERA
5.40
IP
15.0
K/9
6.6
BB/9
4.2
WHIP
1.47
L5 STARTS5.66 ERA · 17.5% K · 11.1% BB
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 57%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

TEX SEA

Game Markets

TEX @ SEA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

57%

1st 5 Innings

SEA F5

49%

Game Total

Over 8.5

47%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

SEA -1.5

40%

Team Total

TEX Over 4.5

39%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore TEX by 0.48 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: TEX 4.11, SEA 4.59
  • Cody Bradford (TEX) vs Kade Anderson (SEA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
CB

Cody Bradford

TEX SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

80%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

49%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

69%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

56%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.8 strikeouts
  • 15% to reach 5+ against SEA
KA

Kade Anderson

SEA SP · vs. TEX

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

99%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

64%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

64%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

49%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 30% to reach 5+ against TEX

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

SPLITS THAT MATTER

CODY BRADFORD SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%15.1%OPS-against.799
vs Left-handedK%6.3%OPS-against.101
SEA vs LHP (team)OPS.629K%24.6%

KADE ANDERSON SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how TEX hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%14.3%OPS-against.746
vs Left-handedK%28.6%OPS-against.109
TEX vs LHP (team)OPS.767K%23.6%
LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

CAREER MATCHUPS

SEA BATTERS vs CODY BRADFORD

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

TEX BATTERS vs KADE ANDERSON

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
TEX 1·SEA 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
TEX 9·SEA 4
13 played · 6 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%SEA
TEX 155 · SEA 169 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-09TEX 10-5 · Slugfest
2026-07-27TEX 7-3
2026-07-26SEA 6-4
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
TEX43¢ · 43%
SEA61¢ · 61%
Total 7.5
Over55¢ · 55%
Under50¢ · 50%
Run line ±1.5
TEX -1.5 ·
SEA +1.5 ·
First 5 innings
O 4.5 ·
U 4.5 ·
TOTAL MOVEMENT87.587.5last 12h
LINEUP FORM · L15

TEX OFFENSE

.354L15 team wOBA
+38 pts vs LG AVG · TOP 6

SEA OFFENSE

.293L15 team wOBA
-23 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
ENVIRONMENT73° · 5mph out to RF
T-MOBILE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Notorious pitcher park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
73°F
Wind5 mph out to RF
Humidity64%
Rain1%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO