BETFLYAISIGN IN
PITTSBURGHPIT
72-73 · +3 NL CENTRAL · W2 · 7-3 L10
@WED 7:40 PM ETCWS HOME PARK
75-69 · +1 AL CENTRAL · L1 · 4-6 L10
CHICAGOCWS
Weather
76°F · 6mph out to RF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 1-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Lake Bachar
RHP · PITPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
3.59
IP
77.2
K/9
9.3
BB/9
3.7
WHIP
1.08
L5 STARTS2.17 ERA · 22.2% K · 22.2% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
32%
23%
18%
13%
11%
4-Seam FastballSliderSweeperCurveballSplit-Finger
Davis Martin
RHP · CWSPROBABLE
STUFF+90
ERA
4.13
IP
130.2
K/9
7.8
BB/9
2.8
WHIP
1.32
L5 STARTS7.97 ERA · 15.6% K · 7.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
26%
18%
15%
14%
13%
13%
4-Seam FastballSinkerChangeupSliderCutterCurveball
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETPirates 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

PIT CWS

Game Markets

PIT @ CWS · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

PIT to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

CWS F5

38%

Game Total

Over 8.5

55%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

CWS -1.5

31%

Team Total

PIT Over 4.5

51%

Team Total

CWS Over 4.5

44%

THE READ

PIT projects to outscore CWS by 0.60 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: PIT 5.05, CWS 4.46
  • Lake Bachar (PIT) vs Davis Martin (CWS)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
LB

Lake Bachar

PIT SP · vs. CWS

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

52%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

33%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

19%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

10%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

4%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

24%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

4%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

35%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

23%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.7 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.7 strikeouts
  • 52% to reach 5+ against CWS
DM

Davis Martin

CWS SP · vs. PIT

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

32%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

41%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

2%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

57%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

42%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.7 strikeouts
  • 32% to reach 5+ against PIT

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

LAKE BACHAR SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CWS hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.3%OPS-against.554
vs Left-handedK%25.9%OPS-against.703
CWS vs RHP (team)OPS.720K%23.7%

DAVIS MARTIN SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how PIT hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%21.8%OPS-against.714
vs Left-handedK%19.7%OPS-against.731
PIT vs RHP (team)OPS.757K%23.4%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

CWS BATTERS vs LAKE BACHAR

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

PIT BATTERS vs DAVIS MARTIN

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
PIT 1·CWS 0
3-game set · gm 2 of 3
2026 SEASON
PIT 1·CWS 0
1 played · 18 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
55%PIT
PIT 16 · CWS 13 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-08PIT 9-3 · Blowout
2025-07-20CWS 7-2
2025-07-19CWS 10-4 · Blowout
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
PIT43¢ · 43%
CWS61¢ · 61%
Total 8.5
Over51¢ · 51%
Under54¢ · 54%
Run line ±1.5
PIT -1.5— · —
CWS +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→13.5→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

PIT OFFENSE

.284L15 team wOBA
-32 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6

CWS OFFENSE

.303L15 team wOBA
-13 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT76° · 6mph out to RF
RATE FIELD
104HR
HR factor1.04 · neutral
Runs factor1.00 · neutral
Doubles factor1.00 · neutral

Slight HR boost.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
76°F
Wind6 mph out to RF
Humidity83%
Rain1%

Light wind out to RF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO