BETFLYAISIGN IN
NEW YORKNYM
67-78 · +4 NL EAST · W3 · 7-3 L10
@WED 6:40 PM ETMIA HOME PARK
72-74 · +3 NL EAST · L2 · 4-6 L10
MIAMIMIA
Weather
85°F · 7mph out to LF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 2-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Robert Stock
RHP · NYMPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
5.81
IP
26.1
K/9
8.5
BB/9
4.4
WHIP
1.75
L5 STARTS4.14 ERA · 19.8% K · 9.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX

Not cataloged

Janson Junk
RHP · MIAPROBABLE
STUFF+101
ERA
4.00
IP
108.0
K/9
6.2
BB/9
2.4
WHIP
1.28
L5 STARTS2.32 ERA · 12.5% K · 6.3% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
33%
24%
20%
14%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupSweeperCurveballSinker
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMets 50%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

NYM MIA

Game Markets

NYM @ MIA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

NYM to win

50%

1st 5 Innings

MIA F5

44%

Game Total

Over 8.5

49%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

52%

Run Line

MIA -1.5

33%

Team Total

NYM Over 4.5

45%

Team Total

MIA Over 4.5

42%

THE READ

NYM projects to outscore MIA by 0.25 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: NYM 4.55, MIA 4.29
  • Robert Stock (NYM) vs Janson Junk (MIA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
RS

Robert Stock

NYM SP · vs. MIA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

34%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

18%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

1%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

28%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

43%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

30%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.9 strikeouts
  • 34% to reach 5+ against MIA
JJ

Janson Junk

MIA SP · vs. NYM

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

12%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

4%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

0%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

53%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

3%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

41%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.7 strikeouts
  • 12% to reach 5+ against NYM

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

ROBERT STOCK SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%22.7%OPS-against.804
vs Left-handedK%18.1%OPS-against.798
MIA vs RHP (team)OPS.738K%21.3%

JANSON JUNK SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how NYM hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%14.2%OPS-against.613
vs Left-handedK%17.6%OPS-against.786
NYM vs RHP (team)OPS.704K%22.2%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

MIA BATTERS vs ROBERT STOCK

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

NYM BATTERS vs JANSON JUNK

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
NYM 2·MIA 0
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
NYM 7·MIA 11
18 played · 1 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
59%NYM
NYM 221 · MIA 156 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-08NYM 7-5
2026-09-07NYM 9-4
2026-08-02MIA 2-0 · Pitchers duel
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
NYM49¢ · 49%
MIA55¢ · 55%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
NYM -1.5— · —
MIA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

NYM OFFENSE

.304L15 team wOBA
-12 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

MIA OFFENSE

.306L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT85° · 7mph out to LF
LOANDEPOT PARK
94HR
HR factor0.94 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.92 · −

Cavernous OF.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
85°F
Wind7 mph out to LF
Humidity77%
Rain9%

Light wind out to LF · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO