BETFLYAISIGN IN
CINCINNATICIN
69-76 · +5 NL CENTRAL · L2 · 5-5 L10
@WED 10:10 PM ETLAD HOME PARK
88-57 · +1 NL WEST · W6 · 7-3 L10
LOS ANGELESLAD
Weather
91°F · 4mph out to CF
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
3-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Rhett Lowder
RHP · CINPROBABLE
STUFF+86
ERA
5.43
IP
116.0
K/9
7.0
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.49
L5 STARTS6.16 ERA · 13.9% K · 6.6% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
30%
27%
23%
21%
SinkerSlider4-Seam FastballChangeup
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
RHP · LADPROBABLE
STUFF+102
ERA
2.67
IP
165.0
K/9
8.8
BB/9
2.1
WHIP
0.90
L5 STARTS2.37 ERA · 32% K · 7.2% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
27%
27%
13%
13%
13%
4-Seam FastballSplit-FingerCutterCurveballSinkerSlider
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETDodgers 67%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

CIN LAD

Game Markets

CIN @ LAD · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAD to win

67%

1st 5 Innings

LAD F5

61%

Game Total

Over 8.5

49%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

53%

Run Line

LAD -1.5

49%

Team Total

CIN Over 4.5

32%

Team Total

LAD Over 4.5

52%

THE READ

LAD projects to outscore CIN by 1.57 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: CIN 3.59, LAD 5.16
  • Rhett Lowder (CIN) vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
RL

Rhett Lowder

CIN SP · vs. LAD

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

15%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

6%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

47%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

12%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

61%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

48%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.8 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.8 strikeouts
  • 15% to reach 5+ against LAD
YY

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

LAD SP · vs. CIN

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

86%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

72%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

56%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

38%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

23%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

100%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

99%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

68%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

54%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.9 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.9 strikeouts
  • 86% to reach 5+ against CIN

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

RHETT LOWDER SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAD hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%15.5%OPS-against.719
vs Left-handedK%18.3%OPS-against.823
LAD vs RHP (team)OPS.759K%20.7%

YOSHINOBU YAMAMOTO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how CIN hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%24.8%OPS-against.594
vs Left-handedK%25.9%OPS-against.530
CIN vs RHP (team)OPS.693K%25.6%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

LAD BATTERS vs RHETT LOWDER

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

CIN BATTERS vs YOSHINOBU YAMAMOTO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
CIN 0·LAD 2
3-game set · gm 3 of 3
2026 SEASON
CIN 1·LAD 3
4 played · 15 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
59%LAD
CIN 54 · LAD 79 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-09LAD 3-2 · One-run game
2026-09-08LAD 6-3
2026-03-13LAD 9-5
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
CIN30¢ · 30%
LAD74¢ · 74%
Total 8.5
Over53¢ · 53%
Under51¢ · 51%
Run line ±1.5
CIN -1.5— · —
LAD +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT8→8.5→8→8.5last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

CIN OFFENSE

.329L15 team wOBA
+13 pts vs LG AVG · ABOVE AVG

LAD OFFENSE

.306L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT91° · 4mph out to CF
DODGER STADIUM
106HR
HR factor1.06 · +
Runs factor0.96 · neutral
Doubles factor0.92 · −

HR-friendly, low BABIP.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH
91°F
Wind4 mph out to CF
Humidity32%
Rain3%

Dead-still air · neutral HR conditions.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
MODEL READ · EDGE + SHARP TIERS

SPINE READ DROPS AT T−3H

Everything above — pitching, lineups, splits, market, umpire, injuries — is free. Our sabermetric simulation engine runs a 5,000-trial forecast at 3 hours before first pitch and publishes the read here alongside spine probabilities, market edge, and per-layer reasoning.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read

UNLOCKS IN--:--:--GO EDGE · $10/MO